Football · Hungary NB I · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC

Team pages: Zalaegerszegi TE · Ferencvarosi TC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Zalaegerszegi TE1.24

Ferencvarosi TC2.05

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Zalaegerszegi TE Draw Ferencvarosi TC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWWLWL

Ferencvarosi TC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Zalaegerszegi TE 2–2–2 Ferencvarosi TC (6 last)

Ferencvarosi TC3-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Ferencvarosi TC0-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE3-1Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC1-2Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE0-2Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE2-2Ferencvarosi TC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zalaegerszegi TE 1507 · Ferencvarosi TC 1539

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	22%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Ferencvarosi TC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.80

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:32 +1’	4.20	3.80	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalaegerszegi TE 2–2–2 Ferencvarosi TC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Hungary NB I	Ferencvarosi TC	3-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
09/05/26 Hungary Cup	Ferencvarosi TC	0-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
14/02/26 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	3-1 HT 0-1	Ferencvarosi TC
26/10/25 Hungary NB I	Ferencvarosi TC	1-2 HT 1-1	Zalaegerszegi TE
12/04/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-2 HT 0-0	Ferencvarosi TC
05/02/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	2-2 HT 2-2	Ferencvarosi TC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ujpest	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
2	Puskas Academy	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
3	Vasas SC	3	1	2	0	7	2	5
4	Gyori ETO	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
5	MTK Budapest	3	1	1	1	8	6	4
6	Kisvarda FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
7	Paksi	3	1	1	1	8	9	4
8	Debreceni VSC	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
9	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
10	Zalaegerszegi TE	3	1	0	2	5	10	3
11	Kispest Honved	3	0	3	0	6	6	3
12	Ferencvarosi TC	2	0	1	1	2	4	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalaegerszegi TE	Ferencvarosi TC
Vasas SC	0-5 L	0-0 D
Paksi	5-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zalaegerszegi TE

DLLWDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
03/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-2	5-2	3	6	W
27/07	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
18/07	Konyaspor Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-1	7	6	W
17/07	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
11/07	Slovacko Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-3	4	1	D
04/07	Slaven Belupo Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-2	1	1	W
01/07	FC Ajka Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
16/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
09/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary Cup	0-0	0-0	0	4	D

Ferencvarosi TC

DWWWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Real Madrid Elite Club Friendlies	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
05/08	Gornik Zabrze UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
02/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
30/07	FC Twente UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Paksi Hungary NB I	2-2	2-4	2	3	L
23/07	FC Twente UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-1	2-1	4	0	W
16/07	Vojvodina UEFA Europa League Qualifying	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
09/07	Vojvodina UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
01/07	FK Qarabag Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
28/06	Sabah Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC win (55%). Probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 22%, draw 23%, Ferencvarosi TC 55%.

How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Zalaegerszegi TE 1.24 · Ferencvarosi TC 2.05), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.