Football · Hungary NB I · 23/08, 17:30

Prediction: Gyori ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Team pages: Gyori ETO · Zalaegerszegi TE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Gyori ETO2.01

Zalaegerszegi TE1.2

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Gyori ETO Draw Zalaegerszegi TE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gyori ETO 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWDWD

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Gyori ETO 2–2–2 Zalaegerszegi TE (6 last)

Zalaegerszegi TE2-1Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO0-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-1Gyori ETO
Zalaegerszegi TE0-0Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO2-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-2Gyori ETO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyori ETO 1571 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1494

	Gyori ETO	Draw	Zalaegerszegi TE
Our model	55%	23%	21%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyori ETO (rating 1571 vs 1494).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyori ETO	Zalaegerszegi TE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.6	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.72
X	4.60 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	6.50 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.57 ★

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +9’	1.36	4.60	6.50
19:13 +6’	1.45▲	4.33▼	5.25▼
16:52 +6’	1.48▲	4.75▲	5.25
06:59 +13’	1.57▲	4.33▼	4.75▼
10:07 +3’	1.55▼	4.50▲	5.00▲
11:14 +1’	1.60▲	4.33▼	4.50▼
17:19 +1’	1.67▲	4.20▼	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +2’	1.48	4.63	5.50
21:54	1.53▲	4.45▼	5.16▼
23:40	1.52▼	4.46▲	5.18▲
03:58 +1’	1.49▼	4.54▲	5.43▲
13:12 +1’	1.49▼	4.54	5.44▲
00:50	1.50▲	4.48▼	5.42▼
20:22 +13’	1.53▲	4.49▲	5.42
06:09 +2’	1.53▲	4.52▲	5.47▲
07:11 +1’	1.57▲	4.41▼	5.20▼
11:12 +3’	1.63▲	4.26▼	4.90▼
15:23 +14’	1.62▼	4.26	4.90
17:17 +3’	1.72▲	3.91▼	4.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyori ETO 2–2–2 Zalaegerszegi TE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	2-1 HT 1-1	Gyori ETO
21/11/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	0-1 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
10/08/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 1-0	Gyori ETO
17/05/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-0 HT 0-0	Gyori ETO
23/02/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-0 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
20/10/24 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-2 HT 1-0	Gyori ETO

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	5	4	0	1	9	6	12
2	Gyori ETO	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
3	Vasas SC	5	2	2	1	9	4	8
4	MTK Budapest	5	2	2	1	11	8	8
5	Ujpest	5	2	1	2	10	9	7
6	Paksi	5	2	1	2	12	12	7
7	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
8	Kisvarda FC	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
9	Debreceni VSC	5	1	2	2	4	7	5
10	Ferencvarosi TC	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	5	1	0	4	5	14	3
12	Kispest Honved	4	0	3	1	7	8	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyori ETO	Zalaegerszegi TE
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	4-0 W	1-2 L
Vasas SC	2-2 D	0-5 L
Kisvarda FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Ferencvarosi TC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Puskas Academy	4-1 W	1-3 L
Kazincbarcikai BSC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gyori ETO (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyori ETO

WWWWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
26/07	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
16/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
02/05	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
26/04	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
19/04	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/04	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
05/04	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
22/03	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	1-1	3-1	10	4	W

Zalaegerszegi TE

WLWLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
03/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-2	5-2	3	6	W
27/07	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
16/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
01/05	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
25/04	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
18/04	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	3-0	4-0	9	4	W
11/04	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
04/04	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-0	1	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyori ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyori ETO win (55%). Probabilities: Gyori ETO 55%, draw 23%, Zalaegerszegi TE 22%.

How many goals are expected in Gyori ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Gyori ETO 2.01 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyori ETO vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.