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Football · Hungary NB I · 21/08, 17:30

Prediction: Paksi vs Ujpest

Team pages: Paksi · Ujpest

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Paksi2.29
Ujpest1.4
1X2
56% 22% 22%
Paksi Draw Ujpest
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Paksi 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLLWDLDL
Ujpest 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWLWWD
Head-to-head
Paksi 3–2–1 Ujpest (6 last)
  • Ujpest0-0Paksi
  • Paksi1-3Ujpest
  • Ujpest1-2Paksi
  • Paksi6-1Ujpest
  • Ujpest0-0Paksi
  • Paksi2-1Ujpest
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paksi 1456 · Ujpest 1519
PaksiDrawUjpest
Our model57%21%22%
Market56%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (rating 1456 vs 1519).
  • H2H favours Paksi: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PaksiUjpest
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 2.91.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 1.40.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.42.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paksi 3–2–1 Ujpest

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Hungary NB I
Ujpest0-0
HT 0-0
Paksi
23/11/25
Hungary NB I
Paksi1-3
HT 0-1
Ujpest
10/08/25
Hungary NB I
Ujpest1-2
HT 1-1
Paksi
14/03/25
Hungary NB I
Paksi6-1
HT 1-1
Ujpest
09/11/24
Hungary NB I
Ujpest0-0
HT 0-0
Paksi
04/08/24
Hungary NB I
Paksi2-1
HT 1-0
Ujpest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vasas SC 4220 938
2 Ujpest 4211 1077
3 Puskas Academy 3201 546
4 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4202 476
5 MTK Budapest 4121 975
6 Gyori ETO 2110 624
7 Paksi 3111 894
8 Kisvarda FC 4112 674
9 Debreceni VSC 3102 363
10 Zalaegerszegi TE 3102 5103
11 Kispest Honved 4031 783
12 Ferencvarosi TC 2011 241

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paksi

DLWLLWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
 1-2 2-3 72 L
09/08 Kispest Honved
Hungary NB I
 0-0 2-2 43 D
03/08 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 2-3 2-5 76 L
30/07 Panathinaikos
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
 1-1 2-2 54 D
26/07 Ferencvarosi TC
Hungary NB I
 2-2 4-2 73 W
23/07 Panathinaikos
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
 0-1 1-2 53 L
17/07 FK Austria Vienna
Europe Friendlies
 0-1 1-4 21 L
16/07 Slaven Belupo
Europe Friendlies
 3-1 5-3 83 W
11/07 Kozarmisleny SE
Europe Friendlies
 0-2 0-3 110 L
08/07 Maccabi Haifa
Europe Friendlies
 2-1 3-3 81 D

Ujpest

LLWDDWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 MTK Budapest
Hungary NB I
 1-1 1-1 53 D
08/08 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
 2-1 4-2 42 W
02/08 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 2-1 4-2 66 W
24/07 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
 1-0 1-2 32 L
18/07 Radnik Bijeljina
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 2-0 31 W
04/07 Hartberg
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 1-1 23 D
27/06 Universitatea Cluj
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 0-0 57 D
20/06 Cegledi VSE
Club Friendly List
 1-0 4-0 161 W
16/05 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 0-2 1-2 67 L
03/05 Ferencvarosi TC
Hungary NB I
 0-2 0-5 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paksi vs Ujpest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paksi win (56%). Probabilities: Paksi 56%, draw 22%, Ujpest 22%.

How many goals are expected in Paksi vs Ujpest?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Paksi 2.29 · Ujpest 1.4), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Paksi vs Ujpest?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.