Football · Hungary NB I · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Debreceni VSC vs Gyori ETO

Team pages: Debreceni VSC · Gyori ETO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Debreceni VSC1.12

Gyori ETO1.81

1X2

22% 25% 53%

Debreceni VSC Draw Gyori ETO

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni VSC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDLLW

Gyori ETO 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWDDWL

Head-to-head

Debreceni VSC 1–5–0 Gyori ETO (6 last)

Debreceni VSC1-1Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO2-2Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC1-1Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO0-0Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC2-2Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO0-3Debreceni VSC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni VSC 1495 · Gyori ETO 1549

	Debreceni VSC	Draw	Gyori ETO
Our model	22%	25%	53%
Market	23%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyori ETO (rating 1495 vs 1549).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni VSC	Gyori ETO
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.4	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.60

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +9’	3.90	3.60	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni VSC 1–5–0 Gyori ETO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	1-1 HT 0-1	Gyori ETO
31/01/26 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-2 HT 0-1	Debreceni VSC
04/10/25 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	1-1 HT 0-0	Gyori ETO
14/03/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	0-0 HT 0-0	Debreceni VSC
09/11/24 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	2-2 HT 1-1	Gyori ETO
02/08/24 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	0-3 HT 0-0	Debreceni VSC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ujpest	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
2	Puskas Academy	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
3	Vasas SC	3	1	2	0	7	2	5
4	Gyori ETO	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
5	MTK Budapest	3	1	1	1	8	6	4
6	Kisvarda FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
7	Paksi	3	1	1	1	8	9	4
8	Debreceni VSC	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
9	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
10	Zalaegerszegi TE	3	1	0	2	5	10	3
11	Kispest Honved	3	0	3	0	6	6	3
12	Ferencvarosi TC	2	0	1	1	2	4	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Debreceni VSC

WDLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/08	FC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
02/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-2	2-4	11	6	L
30/07	Pyunik Yerevan UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
26/07	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
23/07	Pyunik Yerevan UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/07	Slaven Belupo Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/07	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
04/07	FK Austria Vienna Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
16/05	Ujpest Hungary NB I	2-0	2-1	7	7	W

Gyori ETO

WDWLDWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Riga FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
02/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
30/07	Bissen UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
26/07	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
21/07	Bissen UEFA Conference League Qualifying	3-1	6-2	4	2	W
14/07	Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League Qualifying	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
07/07	Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
24/06	Vojvodina Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	4	0	W
19/06	Grazer AK Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
16/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni VSC vs Gyori ETO?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyori ETO win (53%). Probabilities: Debreceni VSC 22%, draw 25%, Gyori ETO 53%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni VSC vs Gyori ETO?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Debreceni VSC 1.12 · Gyori ETO 1.81), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni VSC vs Gyori ETO?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.