Football · England Premier League 2 · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
Team pages: Everton U21 · Middlesbrough U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Everton U211.91
Middlesbrough U211.6
1X2
Everton U21
Draw
Middlesbrough U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Everton U21
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Middlesbrough U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton U21
1–1–0
Middlesbrough U21
(2 last)
- Middlesbrough U210-1Everton U21
- Middlesbrough U212-2Everton U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton U21 1465 · Middlesbrough U21 1543
| Everton U21 | Draw | Middlesbrough U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Middlesbrough U21 (rating 1465 vs 1543).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton U21 | Middlesbrough U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton U21 1–1–0 Middlesbrough U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 England Premier League 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Everton U21 |
| 18/08/23 England Premier League 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Everton U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Man Utd U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottm Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Man City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-2 | 8-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/03 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/02 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/02 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
Middlesbrough U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/08 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/03 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/03 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Everton U21 45%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 32%.
How many goals are expected in Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Everton U21 1.91 · Middlesbrough U21 1.6), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.