Football · England Premier League 2 · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Nottm Forest U21 vs Man Utd U21
Team pages: Nottm Forest U21 · Man Utd U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Nottm Forest U211.51
Man Utd U212.06
1X2
Nottm Forest U21
Draw
Man Utd U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nottm Forest U21
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Man Utd U21
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nottm Forest U21
0–2–0
Man Utd U21
(2 last)
- Man Utd U213-3Nottm Forest U21
- Nottm Forest U210-0Man Utd U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nottm Forest U21 1504 · Man Utd U21 1561
| Nottm Forest U21 | Draw | Man Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man Utd U21 (rating 1504 vs 1561).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nottm Forest U21 | Man Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 2.8 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nottm Forest U21 0–2–0 Man Utd U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/25 England Premier League 2 | Man Utd U21 | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Nottm Forest U21 |
| 26/04/24 England Premier League 2 | Nottm Forest U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Man Utd U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Man Utd U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottm Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Man City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nottm Forest U21 | Man Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Man City U21 | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Sunderland U21 | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Crystal Palace U21 | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Newcastle U21 | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nottm Forest U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/02 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/02 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Man Utd U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man Utd U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man Utd U21 win (50%). Probabilities: Nottm Forest U21 28%, draw 22%, Man Utd U21 50%.
How many goals are expected in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man Utd U21?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Nottm Forest U21 1.51 · Man Utd U21 2.06), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man Utd U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.