Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone vs Tritium

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone1.9
Tritium0.81
1X2
62% 24% 14%
ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Draw Tritium
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Tritium 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone 1572 · Tritium 1431
ASD Nibbiano e ValtidoneDrawTritium
Our model62%24%14%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone (rating 1572 vs 1431).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Nibbiano e ValtidoneTritium
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.60.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 00.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/33/0%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.32.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 06.3 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Nibbiano e ValtidoneTritium
Piacenza 2-3 L 1-2 L
Virtus Verona 1-0 W 0-2 L
ASD Brusaporto 1-0 W 1-2 L
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 4-1 W 2-0 W
AC Chievo Verona 2-0 W 0-5 L
Club Milano 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-3 33 L
25/10 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 31 W
18/10 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
11/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-1 24 W
04/10 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 13 W
20/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
13/09 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 42 W
06/09 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 74 W

Tritium

LLDLDLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
25/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 75 W
18/10 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/10 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-5 26 L
27/09 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
20/09 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
16/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 59 D
12/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 26 L
06/09 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone vs Tritium?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone win (62%). Probabilities: ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone 62%, draw 24%, Tritium 14%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone vs Tritium?

The model expects 2.72 goals (ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone 1.9 · Tritium 0.81), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone vs Tritium?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.