Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Pontedera vs Solbiatese Calcio 1911

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Pontedera1.4
Solbiatese Calcio 19111.26
1X2
39% 28% 33%
Pontedera Draw Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Pontedera 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWLDW
Solbiatese Calcio 1911 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDDLWDDWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pontedera 1438 · Solbiatese Calcio 1911 1515
PontederaDrawSolbiatese Calcio 1911
Our model39%28%32%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Solbiatese Calcio 1911 (rating 1438 vs 1515).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PontederaSolbiatese Calcio 1911
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.61.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/14/43%29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.91.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.32.7 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPontederaSolbiatese Calcio 1911
Oltrepò 1-1 D 4-0 W
Tropical Coriano 2-1 W 2-1 W
Lentigione 0-2 L 2-2 D
Citta di Varese 0-3 L 0-0 D
Pro Sesto 0-3 L 1-1 D
Pro Patria 2-3 L 1-0 W
USD Castellanzese 1-3 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Solbiatese Calcio 1911 (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pontedera

LLLLLLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 4-3 –– W
25/10 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 137 D
18/10 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
– 1-4 –– L
14/10 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 38 W
11/10 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 02 L
04/10 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
20/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 53 L
16/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-3 73 L
12/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-3 25 L
06/09 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 44 L

Solbiatese Calcio 1911

LDDLWDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
1-0 4-0 60 W
25/10 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
21/10 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 55 W
17/10 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
11/10 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 54 D
27/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 33 W
20/09 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
– 1-4 –– L
16/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 26 D
12/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 32 D
06/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 20 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pontedera vs Solbiatese Calcio 1911?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pontedera win (39%). Probabilities: Pontedera 39%, draw 28%, Solbiatese Calcio 1911 33%.

How many goals are expected in Pontedera vs Solbiatese Calcio 1911?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Pontedera 1.4 · Solbiatese Calcio 1911 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pontedera vs Solbiatese Calcio 1911?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.