Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs Recanatese

Team pages: Giulianova Calcio 1924 · Recanatese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Giulianova Calcio 19241.65
Recanatese1.11
1X2
49% 27% 25%
Giulianova Calcio 1924 Draw Recanatese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Giulianova Calcio 1924 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWWLWWL
Recanatese 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 Recanatese (2 last)
  • Recanatese0-0Giulianova Calcio 1924
  • Giulianova Calcio 19244-1Recanatese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1506 · Recanatese 1437
Giulianova Calcio 1924DrawRecanatese
Our model49%27%25%
Market49%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulianova Calcio 1924 (rating 1506 vs 1437).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Giulianova Calcio 1924Recanatese
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 6.22 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.24 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 Recanatese

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Italy Serie D
Recanatese0-0
HT 0-0
Giulianova Calcio 1924
09/11/25
Italy Serie D
Giulianova Calcio 19244-1Recanatese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGiulianova Calcio 1924Recanatese
ASD K-Sport Montecchio 0-3 L 0-0 D
Polisportiva Pietralunghese 1-0 W 0-0 D
Foligno 1-0 W 4-1 W
Santegidiese 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulianova Calcio 1924

LLDLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
25/10 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 104 W
18/10 Foligno
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
11/10 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
27/09 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-1 4-2 46 W
20/09 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-3 33 L
16/09 Termoli
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 61 L
06/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 83 L

Recanatese

DDWDLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 86 L
25/10 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
18/10 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 07 L
10/10 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 35 L
04/10 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 43 L
27/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
– 1-4 –– L
20/09 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
16/09 Foligno
Italy Serie D
2-1 4-1 14 W
12/09 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs Recanatese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giulianova Calcio 1924 win (49%). Probabilities: Giulianova Calcio 1924 49%, draw 27%, Recanatese 25%.

How many goals are expected in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs Recanatese?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Giulianova Calcio 1924 1.65 · Recanatese 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs Recanatese?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.