Prediction: ASD Sporting Trestina vs Foligno
Team pages: ASD Sporting Trestina · Foligno
- Foligno3-1ASD Sporting Trestina
- ASD Sporting Trestina0-1Foligno
- ASD Sporting Trestina2-0Foligno
- Foligno1-3ASD Sporting Trestina
- ASD Sporting Trestina1-2Foligno
- Foligno1-2ASD Sporting Trestina
| ASD Sporting Trestina | Draw | Foligno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Foligno (rating 1456 vs 1540).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Sporting Trestina | Foligno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/75/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Sporting Trestina 3–0–3 Foligno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Foligno | 3-1 HT 2-1 | ASD Sporting Trestina |
| 24/09/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Sporting Trestina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Foligno |
| 08/05/22 Italy Serie D | ASD Sporting Trestina | 2-0 | Foligno |
| 22/12/21 Italy Serie D | Foligno | 1-3 HT 1-1 | ASD Sporting Trestina |
| 03/11/21 Italy Serie D Cup | ASD Sporting Trestina | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Foligno |
| 18/04/21 Italy Serie D | Foligno | 1-2 | ASD Sporting Trestina |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Sporting Trestina | Foligno |
|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Polisportiva Pietralunghese | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lanciano | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Vigor Senigallia | 2-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Foligno (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Sporting Trestina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Santegidiese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Polisportiva Pietralunghese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
Foligno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Polisportiva Pietralunghese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Foligno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Foligno win (41%). Probabilities: ASD Sporting Trestina 29%, draw 30%, Foligno 41%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Foligno?
The model expects 2.33 goals (ASD Sporting Trestina 1.05 · Foligno 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Foligno?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.