Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Teramo vs Termoli

Team pages: Teramo · Termoli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Teramo1.87
Termoli0.76
1X2
63% 22% 14%
Teramo Draw Termoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Teramo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWWLWW
Termoli 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWDLLWW
Head-to-head
Teramo 2–3–0 Termoli (5 last)
  • Teramo0-0Termoli
  • Termoli0-0Teramo
  • Teramo4-1Termoli
  • Termoli1-2Teramo
  • Termoli1-1Teramo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teramo 1582 · Termoli 1487
TeramoDrawTermoli
Our model63%24%14%
Market64%21%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teramo (rating 1582 vs 1487).
  • H2H favours Teramo: 2-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TeramoTermoli
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.50.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.30 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)100/0/0%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.92.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.15 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Teramo 2–3–0 Termoli

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie D
Teramo0-0
HT 0-0
Termoli
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
Termoli0-0Teramo
30/03/25
Italy Serie D
Teramo4-1
HT 1-0
Termoli
17/11/24
Italy Serie D
Termoli1-2
HT 0-1
Teramo
01/09/24
Italy Serie D Cup
Termoli1-1
HT 0-1
Teramo

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 7511 16216
2 Sambiase 7511 11516
3 Calcio Avola 1949 7502 111015
4 Vibonese 7421 16614
5 ASD Licata 7421 10914
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 7331 13512
7 Igea Virtus 7322 161411
8 Milazzo 7313 6910
9 Nissa FC 7232 10109
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Siracusa 7421 1157
12 Modica 7214 7107
13 ASD CastrumFavara 7214 897
14 Città di Gela 7133 575
15 Vigor Lamezia 7124 7165
16 ASD Ragusa 7034 5103
17 Trapani 7205 3111
18 Enna Calcio 7016 0171

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTeramoTermoli
ASD Sporting Trestina 2-0 W 0-2 L
Vigor Senigallia 6-4 W 1-2 L
L'Aquila 0-2 L 0-1 L
Giulianova Calcio 1924 3-2 W 0-0 D
ASD Angelana 1930 3-1 W 1-0 W
Notaresco Calcio 1924 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Teramo (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teramo

DDWWDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 61 W
04/10 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
3-2 6-4 54 W
27/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
20/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 73 W
16/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 82 W
12/09 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 49 D
06/09 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
17/05 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 13 W
03/05 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D

Termoli

LLDLWDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 58 W
04/10 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
27/09 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 32 L
20/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
06/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
26/04 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
19/04 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teramo vs Termoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Teramo win (63%). Probabilities: Teramo 63%, draw 22%, Termoli 14%.

How many goals are expected in Teramo vs Termoli?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Teramo 1.87 · Termoli 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Teramo vs Termoli?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.