Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Pro Sesto vs Correggese

Team pages: Pro Sesto · Correggese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Pro Sesto1.55
Correggese0.86
1X2
53% 27% 20%
Pro Sesto Draw Correggese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pro Sesto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWDDDLL
Correggese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLWWLLDD
Head-to-head
Pro Sesto 1–1 Correggese (2 last)
  • Correggese1-0Pro Sesto
  • Pro Sesto1-0Correggese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Sesto 1511 · Correggese 1488
Pro SestoDrawCorreggese
Our model53%28%19%
Market54%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pro SestoCorreggese
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.30.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/50/13%17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.32.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Sesto 1–0–1 Correggese

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Italy Serie D
Correggese1-0Pro Sesto
21/12/25
Italy Serie D
Pro Sesto1-0
HT 0-0
Correggese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPro SestoCorreggese
USD Casatese 0-1 L 1-3 L
ASD Varesina 0-0 D 2-1 W
Arconatese 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Sesto

LWWWWDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 14 L
25/10 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
18/10 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 41 D
11/10 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 64 D
04/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
5-0 6-1 34 W
20/09 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 22 W
16/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 83 W
12/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 63 W
06/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 45 L

Correggese

WDWLWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-2 44 D
25/10 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
18/10 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 84 L
04/10 Pavia
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 44 W
27/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 53 W
20/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-3 24 L
16/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 104 W
12/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Sesto vs Correggese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pro Sesto win (53%). Probabilities: Pro Sesto 53%, draw 27%, Correggese 20%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Sesto vs Correggese?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Pro Sesto 1.55 · Correggese 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Sesto vs Correggese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.