Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Citta di Varese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Team pages: Citta di Varese · A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Citta di Varese1.45
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo1.07
1X2
45% 28% 27%
Citta di Varese Draw A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Citta di Varese 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWDLWWDL
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLLWWL
Head-to-head
Citta di Varese 0–1 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo (1 last)
  • A.C.D. Sant'Angelo3-0Citta di Varese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Citta di Varese 1489 · A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1490
Citta di VareseDrawA.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Our model44%29%27%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Citta di VareseA.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.10.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/43/0%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.12.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 04 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Citta di Varese 0–0–1 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/11/24
Italy Serie D Cup
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo3-0Citta di Varese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCitta di VareseA.C.D. Sant'Angelo
ASD Varesina 1-3 L 1-1 D
Lentigione 1-1 D 0-2 L
Pro Sesto 0-2 L 2-1 W
Tropical Coriano 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: A.C.D. Sant'Angelo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Citta di Varese

DLDWDLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 34 L
25/10 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
18/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-1 31 W
11/10 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
04/10 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
27/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 33 D
20/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 13 W
16/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
12/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 63 L
06/09 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 57 D

A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

DDWDLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
25/10 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
18/10 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
11/10 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
27/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-3 02 L
20/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
16/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 27 W
13/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 35 D
03/05 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-2 93 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Citta di Varese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Citta di Varese win (45%). Probabilities: Citta di Varese 45%, draw 28%, A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 27%.

How many goals are expected in Citta di Varese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Citta di Varese 1.45 · A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1.07), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Citta di Varese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.