Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Brusaporto vs Piacenza

Team pages: ASD Brusaporto · Piacenza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

ASD Brusaporto0.96

Piacenza1.71

1X2

20% 25% 54%

ASD Brusaporto Draw Piacenza

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ASD Brusaporto 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLLL

Piacenza 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

ASD Brusaporto 0–2 Piacenza (2 last)

ASD Brusaporto0-2Piacenza
Piacenza6-1ASD Brusaporto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Brusaporto 1454 · Piacenza 1563

	ASD Brusaporto	Draw	Piacenza
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piacenza (rating 1454 vs 1563).
H2H favours Piacenza: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASD Brusaporto	Piacenza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/25/63%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.60

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +6’	4.33	3.60	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Brusaporto 0–0–2 Piacenza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/24 Italy Serie D	ASD Brusaporto	0-2 HT 0-1	Piacenza
26/11/23 Italy Serie D	Piacenza	6-1	ASD Brusaporto

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	10	7	2	1	25	7	23
2	Sambiase	10	7	2	1	17	8	23
3	Vibonese	10	6	3	1	22	9	21
4	Calcio Avola 1949	10	6	1	3	16	14	19
5	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
6	Milazzo	10	5	1	4	11	12	16
7	Igea Virtus	10	4	3	3	23	21	15
8	ASD Licata	10	4	2	4	10	17	14
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	9	4	2	3	12	10	14
10	Città di Gela	10	3	4	3	11	8	12
11	Nissa FC	10	3	3	4	16	14	12
12	Siracusa	10	5	3	2	17	10	11
13	Vigor Lamezia	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
14	ASD CastrumFavara	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
15	Modica	9	2	1	6	7	12	7
16	Trapani	10	3	2	5	7	14	6
17	ASD Ragusa	10	0	3	7	9	21	3
18	Enna Calcio	10	0	3	7	4	24	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASD Brusaporto	Piacenza
ASD Caldiero Terme	0-2 L	3-1 W
ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone	0-1 L	3-2 W
Scanzorosciate	0-1 L	4-0 W
Pro Palazzo	0-1 L	1-1 D
Real Calepina FC	3-2 W	3-1 W
US Fiorenzuola	1-0 W	0-0 D
AC Milan U23	1-2 L	1-2 L
Tritium	2-1 W	2-1 W
AC Leon Monza Brianza	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 6 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Piacenza (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Brusaporto

LWLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D	0-4	2-5	4	3	L
24/10	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
18/10	ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
04/10	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	0-1	3-2	1	7	W
20/09	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
16/09	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
12/09	Tritium Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	0	6	W
06/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	0-1	0-2	7	4	L

Piacenza

WLDWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
01/11	ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D	0-1	3-2	9	3	W
25/10	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	13	6	D
18/10	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
10/10	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
04/10	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/09	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
13/09	Virtus Verona Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
06/09	Tritium Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Brusaporto vs Piacenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Piacenza win (54%). Probabilities: ASD Brusaporto 20%, draw 25%, Piacenza 54%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Brusaporto vs Piacenza?

The model expects 2.67 goals (ASD Brusaporto 0.96 · Piacenza 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Brusaporto vs Piacenza?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.