Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Virtus Verona

Team pages: AC Leon Monza Brianza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
AC Leon Monza Brianza1.45
Virtus Verona0.93
1X2
48% 28% 23%
AC Leon Monza Brianza Draw Virtus Verona
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Leon Monza Brianza 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLWWWLW
Virtus Verona 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWDWLLDWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Leon Monza Brianza 1544 · Virtus Verona 1482
AC Leon Monza BrianzaDrawVirtus Verona
Our model48%29%23%
Market49%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Leon Monza Brianza (rating 1544 vs 1482).
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Leon Monza BrianzaVirtus Verona
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.63 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 02.8 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC Leon Monza BrianzaVirtus Verona
Tritium 1-0 W 2-0 W
AC Chievo Verona 0-4 L 1-1 D
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-1 W 0-3 L
ASD Calcio Pavonese 3-0 W 0-1 L
Club Milano 2-1 W 1-0 W
ASD Villa D'Alme 1-2 L 2-2 D
Rovato Vertovese SSD 2-2 D 1-1 D
Piacenza 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Virtus Verona (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Leon Monza Brianza

WDDDLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
25/10 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
18/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 132 W
04/10 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 54 W
27/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 57 L
20/09 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
16/09 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 75 D
12/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 34 W

Virtus Verona

DWDWLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
25/10 ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 91 L
18/10 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
11/10 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
04/10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
27/09 ASD Calcio Pavonese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 55 L
20/09 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 52 W
16/09 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 23 W
06/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Virtus Verona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Leon Monza Brianza win (48%). Probabilities: AC Leon Monza Brianza 48%, draw 28%, Virtus Verona 23%.

How many goals are expected in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Virtus Verona?

The model expects 2.39 goals (AC Leon Monza Brianza 1.45 · Virtus Verona 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs Virtus Verona?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.