Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: Atletico Santa Cruz vs Aguilas B

Team pages: Atletico Santa Cruz · Aguilas B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Atletico Santa Cruz1.33
Aguilas B1.25
1X2
38% 29% 33%
Atletico Santa Cruz Draw Aguilas B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Santa Cruz 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLWLWD
Aguilas B 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWDDDD
Head-to-head
Atletico Santa Cruz 2–0 Aguilas B (2 last)
  • Atletico Santa Cruz2-1Aguilas B
  • Aguilas B0-3Atletico Santa Cruz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Santa Cruz 1518 · Aguilas B 1530
Atletico Santa CruzDrawAguilas B
Our model38%29%33%
Market38%29%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico Santa Cruz: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Santa CruzAguilas B
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.41.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.25.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Santa Cruz 2–0–0 Aguilas B

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 13
Atletico Santa Cruz2-1
HT 1-1
Aguilas B
22/11/25
Spain Tercera Group 13
Aguilas B0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Santa Cruz

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santomera 3210 637
2 San Javier CF 3210 647
3 Bullas Deportivo 3120 415
4 At. Pulpileno 3120 205
5 UD Los Garres 3120 435
6 Alcantarilla FC 3120 315
7 Bala Azul 3120 325
8 Atletico Santa Cruz 3111 664
9 Olimpico Totana 3111 444
10 UCAM Murcia CF B 3111 744
11 SFC Minerva 3111 114
12 Cotillas CD 3111 454
13 Union Molinense CF 3111 654
14 Aguilas B 3030 333
15 FC Cartagena B 3021 462
16 Mazarron 3012 351
17 Deportivo Maritimo 3003 060
18 CD Algar 3003 070

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Santa CruzAguilas B
Mazarron 2-2 D 3-2 W
UCAM Murcia CF B 0-4 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas B (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Santa Cruz

LWLWWLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Mazarron
Spain Tercera Group 13
– 2-2 –– D
12/09 Olimpico Totana
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-0 2-1 24 W
06/09 AD Mar Menor San Javier
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-1 2-3 611 L
10/05 FC Cartagena B
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-0 1-0 43 W
02/05 Real Murcia B
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-2 1-2 44 L
26/04 Yeclano B
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-0 2-0 46 W
18/04 SFC Minerva
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-0 1-0 72 W
12/04 At. Pulpileno
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-0 0-1 75 L
01/04 Aguilas B
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-1 2-1 35 W
29/03 UCAM Murcia CF B
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-1 0-4 36 L

Aguilas B

WLWWWWDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Bala Azul
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-0 0-0 18 D
13/09 Cotillas CD
Spain Tercera Group 13
2-1 2-2 66 D
06/09 Alcantarilla FC
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-0 1-1 13 D
10/05 UCAM Murcia CF B
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-2 2-2 55 D
03/05 Mazarron
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-0 3-2 110 W
25/04 El Palmar CF Estrella Grana
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-1 2-1 114 W
19/04 Deportivo Maritimo
Spain Tercera Group 13
0-0 2-1 62 W
11/04 Union Molinense CF
Spain Tercera Group 13
– 2-1 –– W
01/04 Atletico Santa Cruz
Spain Tercera Group 13
1-1 1-2 55 L
28/03 Santomera
Spain Tercera Group 13
– 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Santa Cruz vs Aguilas B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Santa Cruz win (38%). Probabilities: Atletico Santa Cruz 38%, draw 29%, Aguilas B 33%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Santa Cruz vs Aguilas B?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Atletico Santa Cruz 1.33 · Aguilas B 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Santa Cruz vs Aguilas B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.