Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Sevilla C vs CD Utrera

Team pages: Sevilla C · CD Utrera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Sevilla C1.27

CD Utrera1.15

1X2

38% 29% 33%

Sevilla C Draw CD Utrera

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sevilla C 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDLLDD

CD Utrera 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Sevilla C 2–4 CD Utrera (6 last)

CD Utrera1-0Sevilla C
Sevilla C2-1CD Utrera
CD Utrera2-1Sevilla C
Sevilla C2-1CD Utrera
Sevilla C1-2CD Utrera
CD Utrera2-0Sevilla C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sevilla C 1458 · CD Utrera 1526

	Sevilla C	Draw	CD Utrera
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Utrera (rating 1458 vs 1526).
H2H favours CD Utrera: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sevilla C	CD Utrera
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/71/29%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.35
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.70▲	Pinn 3.13 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +17’	2.50	3.20	2.45
23:28 +3’	2.30▼	3.20	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +27’	2.33	2.90	3.08
10:00 +3’	2.35▲	2.94▲	3.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla C 2–0–4 CD Utrera

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	1-0 HT 0-0	Sevilla C
04/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	2-1 HT 0-0	CD Utrera
06/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	2-1 HT 1-1	Sevilla C
24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	2-1 HT 1-0	CD Utrera
14/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	1-2	CD Utrera
26/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	2-0 HT 2-0	Sevilla C

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	9	7	1	1	23	9	22
2	Racing Portuense	9	6	1	2	18	9	19
3	Xerez Deportivo FC	9	5	2	2	13	11	17
4	CD San Roque de Lepe	9	5	2	2	13	8	17
5	UD Tomares	9	5	2	2	10	7	17
6	CD Utrera	8	5	0	3	11	12	15
7	Real Betis C	9	4	2	3	19	15	14
8	Pozoblanco	9	3	3	3	14	12	12
9	AD Ceuta FC B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
10	CD Egabrense	9	3	2	4	15	15	11
11	Conil CF	9	3	2	4	6	11	11
12	Chiclana	9	2	3	4	10	14	9
13	RB Linense	9	2	3	4	11	13	9
14	Atletico Onubense	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	9	1	5	3	5	6	8
16	Cordoba B	9	1	4	4	9	13	7
17	Sevilla C	9	1	4	4	9	16	7
18	Bollullos CF	9	1	3	5	8	12	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sevilla C	CD Utrera
Pozoblanco	2-2 D	2-1 W
Conil CF	0-0 D	2-0 W
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	1-5 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Utrera (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sevilla C

DLLWDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/10	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/10	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-4	1-5	2	5	L
10/10	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
04/10	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
27/09	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
20/09	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
06/09	Betis Deportivo C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
10/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

CD Utrera

WWLWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
24/10	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-5	–	–	L
11/10	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
20/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
10/05	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sevilla C vs CD Utrera?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sevilla C win (38%). Probabilities: Sevilla C 38%, draw 29%, CD Utrera 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sevilla C vs CD Utrera?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Sevilla C 1.27 · CD Utrera 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sevilla C vs CD Utrera?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.