Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Conil CF vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Team pages: Conil CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Conil CF1.14

Xerez Deportivo FC1.16

1X2

34% 31% 35%

Conil CF Draw Xerez Deportivo FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Conil CF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWDDL

Xerez Deportivo FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWWWD

Head-to-head

Conil CF 2–1–3 Xerez Deportivo FC (6 last)

Xerez Deportivo FC1-0Conil CF
Conil CF0-1Xerez Deportivo FC
Xerez Deportivo FC1-0Conil CF
Conil CF1-1Xerez Deportivo FC
Xerez Deportivo FC0-1Conil CF
Conil CF2-1Xerez Deportivo FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xerez Deportivo FC (rating 1482 vs 1540).
H2H favours Xerez Deportivo FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Conil CF	Xerez Deportivo FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	57/14/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.7	6.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.86

Under 2.251.89

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.44 → 3.44	Pinn 3.44
X	3.09 → 3.09	Pinn 3.09
2	2.06 → 2.06	Pinn 2.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +2’	3.44	3.09	2.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Conil CF 2–1–3 Xerez Deportivo FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Xerez Deportivo FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Conil CF
17/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	0-1	Xerez Deportivo FC
07/03/21 Spain Tercera Group 10	Xerez Deportivo FC	1-0	Conil CF
09/12/20 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	1-1	Xerez Deportivo FC
24/11/19 Spain Tercera Group 10	Xerez Deportivo FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Conil CF
13/08/19 Europe Friendlies	Conil CF	2-1 HT 1-0	Xerez Deportivo FC

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	10	7	2	1	24	10	23
2	Racing Portuense	10	6	2	2	19	10	20
3	CD San Roque de Lepe	10	6	2	2	15	9	20
4	Xerez Deportivo FC	10	5	3	2	14	12	18
5	UD Tomares	10	5	2	3	11	9	17
6	Real Betis C	10	5	2	3	23	18	17
7	CD Utrera	9	5	1	3	14	15	16
8	CD Egabrense	10	4	2	4	18	16	14
9	Pozoblanco	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
10	RB Linense	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
11	AD Ceuta FC B	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	Conil CF	10	3	2	5	9	15	11
13	Cadiz Mirandilla	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
14	Chiclana	10	2	3	5	11	17	9
15	Sevilla C	11	1	6	4	13	20	9
16	Atletico Onubense	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
17	Bollullos CF	10	1	4	5	9	13	7
17	Cordoba B	9	1	4	4	9	13	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Conil CF	Xerez Deportivo FC
Real Betis C	3-4 L	0-2 L
Bollullos CF	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sevilla C	0-0 D	3-2 W
Racing Portuense	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Conil CF

WLLLWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	2-3	3-4	0	10	L
01/11	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/10	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
18/10	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	0	8	W
10/10	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/10	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-3	1-3	2	8	L
20/09	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
13/09	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
05/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W

Xerez Deportivo FC

LWWLDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	7	8	D
01/11	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
24/10	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	3-2	4	9	W
18/10	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
04/10	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
27/09	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-0	8	9	W
13/09	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	3-2	7	4	W
06/09	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Conil CF vs Xerez Deportivo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Xerez Deportivo FC win (35%). Probabilities: Conil CF 34%, draw 31%, Xerez Deportivo FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Conil CF vs Xerez Deportivo FC?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Conil CF 1.14 · Xerez Deportivo FC 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Conil CF vs Xerez Deportivo FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.