Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: RB Linense vs Racing Portuense

Team pages: RB Linense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

RB Linense1.5

Racing Portuense1.14

1X2

44% 28% 28%

RB Linense Draw Racing Portuense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

RB Linense 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDDDW

Racing Portuense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLWWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RB Linense 1493 · Racing Portuense 1556

	RB Linense	Draw	Racing Portuense
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Portuense (rating 1493 vs 1556).
Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RB Linense	Racing Portuense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.2	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.48 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.25
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:38 +7’	2.00	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +13’	2.57	3.25	2.50
19:33 +14’	2.48▼	3.25	2.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	10	7	2	1	24	10	23
2	Racing Portuense	10	6	2	2	19	10	20
3	CD San Roque de Lepe	10	6	2	2	15	9	20
4	Xerez Deportivo FC	10	5	3	2	14	12	18
5	UD Tomares	10	5	2	3	11	9	17
6	Real Betis C	10	5	2	3	23	18	17
7	CD Utrera	9	5	1	3	14	15	16
8	CD Egabrense	10	4	2	4	18	16	14
9	Pozoblanco	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
10	RB Linense	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
11	AD Ceuta FC B	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	Conil CF	10	3	2	5	9	15	11
13	Cadiz Mirandilla	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
14	Chiclana	10	2	3	5	11	17	9
15	Sevilla C	11	1	6	4	13	20	9
16	Atletico Onubense	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
17	Bollullos CF	10	1	4	5	9	13	7
17	Cordoba B	9	1	4	4	9	13	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RB Linense	Racing Portuense
Cadiz Mirandilla	1-1 D	1-1 D
CD Utrera	0-1 L	2-1 W
Pozoblanco	1-3 L	3-1 W
Conil CF	3-1 W	1-2 L
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	1-3 L	3-0 W
UD Tomares	2-0 W	1-1 D
Chiclana	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Portuense (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RB Linense

LWLWLLDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/11	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
11/10	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/10	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-3	–	–	L
27/09	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	3-0	3-1	6	8	W
20/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
13/09	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
05/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	1-2	2	7	L

Racing Portuense

WWWLDWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
01/11	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
25/10	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
18/10	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-2	3	8	L
11/10	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
04/10	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-3	7	9	L
20/09	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RB Linense vs Racing Portuense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RB Linense win (44%). Probabilities: RB Linense 44%, draw 28%, Racing Portuense 28%.

How many goals are expected in RB Linense vs Racing Portuense?

The model expects 2.63 goals (RB Linense 1.5 · Racing Portuense 1.14), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RB Linense vs Racing Portuense?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.