Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: CD Utrera vs Bollullos CF

Team pages: CD Utrera · Bollullos CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

CD Utrera1.43

Bollullos CF1.1

1X2

44% 28% 28%

CD Utrera Draw Bollullos CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Utrera 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Bollullos CF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Utrera 3–2–1 Bollullos CF (6 last)

Bollullos CF1-2CD Utrera
CD Utrera1-0Bollullos CF
Bollullos CF0-0CD Utrera
CD Utrera0-1Bollullos CF
Bollullos CF1-3CD Utrera
CD Utrera1-1Bollullos CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Utrera 1536 · Bollullos CF 1440

	CD Utrera	Draw	Bollullos CF
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Utrera (rating 1536 vs 1440).
H2H favours CD Utrera: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Utrera	Bollullos CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.7	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	6.8 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +25’	2.05	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Utrera 3–2–1 Bollullos CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	1-2 HT 1-0	CD Utrera
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	1-0 HT 0-0	Bollullos CF
09/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Utrera
29/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	0-1 HT 0-0	Bollullos CF
01/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Utrera
17/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	1-1 HT 0-1	Bollullos CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	10	7	2	1	24	10	23
2	Racing Portuense	10	6	2	2	19	10	20
3	CD San Roque de Lepe	10	6	2	2	15	9	20
4	Xerez Deportivo FC	10	5	3	2	14	12	18
5	UD Tomares	10	5	2	3	11	9	17
6	Real Betis C	10	5	2	3	23	18	17
7	CD Utrera	9	5	1	3	14	15	16
8	CD Egabrense	10	4	2	4	18	16	14
9	Pozoblanco	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
10	RB Linense	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
11	AD Ceuta FC B	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	Conil CF	10	3	2	5	9	15	11
13	Cadiz Mirandilla	10	1	6	3	6	7	9
14	Chiclana	10	2	3	5	11	17	9
15	Sevilla C	10	1	5	4	12	19	8
16	Atletico Onubense	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
17	Bollullos CF	10	1	4	5	9	13	7
17	Cordoba B	9	1	4	4	9	13	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Utrera	Bollullos CF
Atletico Onubense	2-1 W	0-2 L
Pozoblanco	2-1 W	1-1 D
Conil CF	2-0 W	0-0 D
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Utrera (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Utrera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	3-3	4	10	D
01/11	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
24/10	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-5	–	–	L
11/10	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
20/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
10/05	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	2	5	W

Bollullos CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/10	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
18/10	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	4	11	L
10/10	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
13/09	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	3-3	–	–	D
06/09	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Utrera vs Bollullos CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Utrera win (44%). Probabilities: CD Utrera 44%, draw 28%, Bollullos CF 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD Utrera vs Bollullos CF?

The model expects 2.53 goals (CD Utrera 1.43 · Bollullos CF 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Utrera vs Bollullos CF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.