Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: CD Utrera vs Cordoba B

Team pages: CD Utrera · Cordoba B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

CD Utrera1.45

Cordoba B0.75

1X2

54% 27% 19%

CD Utrera Draw Cordoba B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Utrera 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Cordoba B 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Utrera 1–3–2 Cordoba B (6 last)

CD Utrera1-1Cordoba B
Cordoba B2-0CD Utrera
Cordoba B1-1CD Utrera
CD Utrera0-1Cordoba B
Cordoba B1-1CD Utrera
CD Utrera4-2Cordoba B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Utrera 1569 · Cordoba B 1483

	CD Utrera	Draw	Cordoba B
Our model	53%	29%	18%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Utrera (rating 1569 vs 1483).
H2H favours Cordoba B: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Utrera	Cordoba B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/71/29%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.69 ★
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +60’	1.65	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:54 +58’	1.63	3.69	4.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Utrera 1–3–2 Cordoba B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	1-1 HT 0-1	Cordoba B
26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	2-0	CD Utrera
11/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	1-1	CD Utrera
12/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	0-1 HT 0-1	Cordoba B
24/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Cordoba B	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Utrera
15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD Utrera	4-2 HT 0-1	Cordoba B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Utrera	6	5	0	1	8	5	15
2	Racing Portuense	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
3	Real Betis C	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
4	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	6	4	1	1	13	5	13
5	UD Tomares	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
6	Pozoblanco	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
7	CD San Roque de Lepe	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
7	Xerez Deportivo FC	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	CD Egabrense	6	2	2	2	12	11	8
10	Chiclana	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
11	Atletico Onubense	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
12	AD Ceuta FC B	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	RB Linense	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
14	Conil CF	6	2	0	4	4	10	6
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	6	1	2	3	4	5	5
16	Bollullos CF	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
17	Sevilla C	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
18	Cordoba B	6	0	2	4	5	12	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Utrera	Cordoba B
Pozoblanco	2-1 W	2-2 D
Conil CF	2-0 W	0-2 L
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Utrera (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Utrera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
20/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
10/05	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/04	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
19/04	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Cordoba B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	2-2	3	8	D
04/10	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
20/09	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
13/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
06/09	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
03/05	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
26/04	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/04	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Utrera vs Cordoba B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Utrera win (54%). Probabilities: CD Utrera 54%, draw 27%, Cordoba B 19%.

How many goals are expected in CD Utrera vs Cordoba B?

The model expects 2.2 goals (CD Utrera 1.45 · Cordoba B 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Utrera vs Cordoba B?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.