Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Atletico Onubense vs CD San Roque de Lepe

Team pages: Atletico Onubense · CD San Roque de Lepe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Atletico Onubense1.3

CD San Roque de Lepe1.37

1X2

34% 28% 37%

Atletico Onubense Draw CD San Roque de Lepe

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Onubense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLLDW

CD San Roque de Lepe 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLLWWD

Head-to-head

Atletico Onubense 1–2–3 CD San Roque de Lepe (6 last)

CD San Roque de Lepe4-0Atletico Onubense
Atletico Onubense1-1CD San Roque de Lepe
Atletico Onubense1-0CD San Roque de Lepe
CD San Roque de Lepe1-0Atletico Onubense
CD San Roque de Lepe1-1Atletico Onubense
Atletico Onubense0-2CD San Roque de Lepe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Onubense 1483 · CD San Roque de Lepe 1487

	Atletico Onubense	Draw	CD San Roque de Lepe
Our model	34%	28%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD San Roque de Lepe: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Onubense	CD San Roque de Lepe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	5.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.95 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.75 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +21’	2.30	3.20	2.75
20:00 +16’	2.45▲	3.20	2.60▼
21:29 +5’	2.63▲	3.20	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +17’	2.95	3.11	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Onubense 1–2–3 CD San Roque de Lepe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD San Roque de Lepe	4-0	Atletico Onubense
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	1-1	CD San Roque de Lepe
26/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	1-0	CD San Roque de Lepe
15/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	CD San Roque de Lepe	1-0	Atletico Onubense
10/08/18 Europe Friendlies	CD San Roque de Lepe	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Onubense
07/01/18 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	0-2 HT 0-0	CD San Roque de Lepe

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Utrera	6	5	0	1	8	5	15
2	Racing Portuense	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
3	Real Betis C	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
4	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	6	4	1	1	13	5	13
5	UD Tomares	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
6	Pozoblanco	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
7	CD San Roque de Lepe	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
7	Xerez Deportivo FC	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	CD Egabrense	6	2	2	2	12	11	8
10	Chiclana	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
11	Atletico Onubense	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
12	AD Ceuta FC B	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	RB Linense	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
14	Conil CF	6	2	0	4	4	10	6
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	6	1	2	3	4	5	5
16	Bollullos CF	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
17	Sevilla C	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
18	Cordoba B	6	0	2	4	5	12	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Onubense	CD San Roque de Lepe
Xerez Deportivo FC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Real Betis C	2-4 L	1-0 W
Bollullos CF	2-0 W	2-1 W
Chiclana	2-1 W	2-2 D
Conil CF	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Onubense (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Onubense

DWLWWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
27/09	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
19/09	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	1-3	2-4	3	4	L
13/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
10/05	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-3	1	3	L
26/04	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

CD San Roque de Lepe

LDLLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
04/10	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
20/09	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/09	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
10/05	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
26/04	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	7	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Onubense vs CD San Roque de Lepe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD San Roque de Lepe win (37%). Probabilities: Atletico Onubense 34%, draw 28%, CD San Roque de Lepe 37%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Onubense vs CD San Roque de Lepe?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Atletico Onubense 1.3 · CD San Roque de Lepe 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Onubense vs CD San Roque de Lepe?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.