Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: UD Tomares vs Bollullos CF

Team pages: UD Tomares · Bollullos CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

UD Tomares1.42

Bollullos CF1.13

1X2

43% 28% 29%

UD Tomares Draw Bollullos CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Tomares 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLWWDW

Bollullos CF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLLDW

Head-to-head

UD Tomares 4–2 Bollullos CF (6 last)

Bollullos CF1-3UD Tomares
UD Tomares0-1Bollullos CF
UD Tomares3-0Bollullos CF
Bollullos CF4-0UD Tomares
UD Tomares2-1Bollullos CF
Bollullos CF1-2UD Tomares

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Tomares 1527 · Bollullos CF 1467

	UD Tomares	Draw	Bollullos CF
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Tomares (rating 1527 vs 1467).
H2H favours UD Tomares: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Tomares	Bollullos CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.9	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.6	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.49 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +14’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +4’	1.96	3.12	3.64
12:35 +197’	2.03▲	3.06▼	3.49▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Tomares 4–0–2 Bollullos CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	1-3 HT 0-1	UD Tomares
07/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	0-1 HT 0-0	Bollullos CF
20/08/25 Spain Copa Federacion	UD Tomares	3-0 HT 1-0	Bollullos CF
17/08/25 Spain Copa Federacion	Bollullos CF	4-0 HT 1-0	UD Tomares
11/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	UD Tomares	2-1 HT 0-0	Bollullos CF
12/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	1-2	UD Tomares

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Utrera	6	5	0	1	8	5	15
2	Racing Portuense	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
3	Real Betis C	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
4	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	6	4	1	1	13	5	13
5	UD Tomares	6	3	2	1	8	6	11
6	Pozoblanco	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
7	CD San Roque de Lepe	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
7	Xerez Deportivo FC	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	CD Egabrense	6	2	2	2	12	11	8
10	Chiclana	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
11	Atletico Onubense	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
12	AD Ceuta FC B	6	2	1	3	6	10	7
13	RB Linense	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
14	Conil CF	6	2	0	4	4	10	6
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	6	1	2	3	4	5	5
16	Bollullos CF	6	1	2	3	8	10	5
17	Sevilla C	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
18	Cordoba B	6	0	2	4	5	12	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Tomares

LLDWDLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
04/10	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
26/09	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	7	7	W
13/09	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
06/09	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
10/05	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
03/05	Coria CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-2	2-2	4	4	D
26/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-5	–	–	L
19/04	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L

Bollullos CF

WLWLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
04/10	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
13/09	Betis Deportivo C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	3-3	–	–	D
06/09	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
23/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/05	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
03/05	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Tomares vs Bollullos CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Tomares win (43%). Probabilities: UD Tomares 43%, draw 28%, Bollullos CF 29%.

How many goals are expected in UD Tomares vs Bollullos CF?

The model expects 2.55 goals (UD Tomares 1.42 · Bollullos CF 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Tomares vs Bollullos CF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.