Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Sevilla C vs Conil CF

Team pages: Sevilla C · Conil CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Sevilla C1.19

Conil CF1.04

1X2

39% 30% 31%

Sevilla C Draw Conil CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sevilla C 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWDDLL

Conil CF 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Sevilla C 2–2–2 Conil CF (6 last)

Conil CF2-0Sevilla C
Sevilla C1-0Conil CF
Sevilla C3-1Conil CF
Conil CF0-0Sevilla C
Sevilla C1-1Conil CF
Conil CF1-0Sevilla C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sevilla C 1440 · Conil CF 1514

	Sevilla C	Draw	Conil CF
Our model	38%	31%	30%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Conil CF (rating 1440 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sevilla C	Conil CF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/63/38%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.08 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +42’	2.25	3.20	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +269’	2.24	3.01	3.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla C 2–2–2 Conil CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	2-0	Sevilla C
07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	1-0 HT 0-0	Conil CF
12/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	3-1 HT 0-0	Conil CF
01/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	0-0 HT 0-0	Sevilla C
27/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Sevilla C	1-1 HT 1-1	Conil CF
11/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 10	Conil CF	1-0	Sevilla C

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	7	5	1	1	18	6	16
2	CD Utrera	7	5	0	2	10	10	15
3	Real Betis C	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
4	UD Tomares	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	Xerez Deportivo FC	8	4	2	2	12	11	14
6	Racing Portuense	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
7	AD Ceuta FC B	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
8	Pozoblanco	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
9	CD San Roque de Lepe	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	Chiclana	8	2	3	3	10	12	9
11	Conil CF	7	3	0	4	6	11	9
12	CD Egabrense	7	2	2	3	13	13	8
13	RB Linense	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
14	Atletico Onubense	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	7	1	3	3	5	6	6
16	Bollullos CF	7	1	2	4	8	11	5
17	Sevilla C	7	1	2	4	7	14	5
18	Cordoba B	6	0	2	4	5	12	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sevilla C

DLDLLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-4	1-5	2	5	L
10/10	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
04/10	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
27/09	CD Egabrense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
20/09	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
06/09	Betis Deportivo C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
10/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
03/05	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
26/04	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Conil CF

WWLWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Racing Portuense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	2-1	0	8	W
10/10	AD Ceuta FC B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/10	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-3	1-3	2	8	L
20/09	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
13/09	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
05/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
26/04	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sevilla C vs Conil CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sevilla C win (39%). Probabilities: Sevilla C 39%, draw 30%, Conil CF 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sevilla C vs Conil CF?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Sevilla C 1.19 · Conil CF 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sevilla C vs Conil CF?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.