Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: RB Linense vs Atletico Onubense

Team pages: RB Linense · Atletico Onubense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

RB Linense1.96

Atletico Onubense0.77

1X2

65% 22% 13%

RB Linense Draw Atletico Onubense

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

RB Linense 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Atletico Onubense 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLDWL

Head-to-head

RB Linense 0–1–1 Atletico Onubense (2 last)

RB Linense1-2Atletico Onubense
Atletico Onubense0-0RB Linense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RB Linense 1462 · Atletico Onubense 1483

	RB Linense	Draw	Atletico Onubense
Our model	64%	23%	13%
Market	65%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RB Linense	Atletico Onubense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.10

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +25’	1.36	4.10	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Linense 0–1–1 Atletico Onubense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	RB Linense	1-2 HT 1-1	Atletico Onubense
25/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	0-0 HT 0-0	RB Linense

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	7	5	1	1	18	6	16
2	CD Utrera	7	5	0	2	10	10	15
3	Real Betis C	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
4	UD Tomares	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	Xerez Deportivo FC	8	4	2	2	12	11	14
6	Racing Portuense	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
7	AD Ceuta FC B	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
8	Pozoblanco	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
9	CD San Roque de Lepe	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	Chiclana	8	2	3	3	10	12	9
11	Conil CF	7	3	0	4	6	11	9
12	CD Egabrense	7	2	2	3	13	13	8
13	RB Linense	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
14	Atletico Onubense	7	2	1	4	7	13	7
15	Cadiz Mirandilla	7	1	3	3	5	6	6
16	Bollullos CF	7	1	2	4	8	11	5
17	Sevilla C	7	1	2	4	7	14	5
18	Cordoba B	6	0	2	4	5	12	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RB Linense	Atletico Onubense
Cadiz Mirandilla	1-1 D	1-0 W
CD Utrera	0-1 L	1-2 L
Pozoblanco	1-3 L	0-3 L
Conil CF	3-1 W	2-3 L
Chiclana	1-2 L	2-1 W
Club Atletico Central	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Onubense (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RB Linense

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
11/10	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/10	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-3	–	–	L
27/09	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	3-0	3-1	6	8	W
20/09	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	1	5	L
13/09	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
05/09	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
10/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	12	6	L

Atletico Onubense

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
11/10	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-1	1	8	D
27/09	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
19/09	Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10	1-3	2-4	3	4	L
13/09	Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
10/05	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-3	1	3	L
26/04	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RB Linense vs Atletico Onubense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RB Linense win (65%). Probabilities: RB Linense 65%, draw 22%, Atletico Onubense 13%.

How many goals are expected in RB Linense vs Atletico Onubense?

The model expects 2.73 goals (RB Linense 1.96 · Atletico Onubense 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RB Linense vs Atletico Onubense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.