Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 06/09, 12:00

Prediction: Cultural Leonesa B vs CD Colegios Diocesanos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Cultural Leonesa B1.72

CD Colegios Diocesanos1.01

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Cultural Leonesa B Draw CD Colegios Diocesanos

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cultural Leonesa B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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CD Colegios Diocesanos 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cultural Leonesa B 4–2–0 CD Colegios Diocesanos (6 last)

CD Colegios Diocesanos0-3Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B2-2CD Colegios Diocesanos
CD Colegios Diocesanos0-2Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B1-0CD Colegios Diocesanos
CD Colegios Diocesanos1-4Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B1-1CD Colegios Diocesanos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cultural Leonesa B 1494 · CD Colegios Diocesanos 1419

	Cultural Leonesa B	Draw	CD Colegios Diocesanos
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cultural Leonesa B (rating 1494 vs 1419).
H2H favours Cultural Leonesa B: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cultural Leonesa B	CD Colegios Diocesanos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.40

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:59 +10’	1.70	3.40	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cultural Leonesa B 4–2–0 CD Colegios Diocesanos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Colegios Diocesanos	0-3 HT 0-3	Cultural Leonesa B
22/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	2-2	CD Colegios Diocesanos
11/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Colegios Diocesanos	0-2 HT 0-0	Cultural Leonesa B
21/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Colegios Diocesanos
06/03/22 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Colegios Diocesanos	1-4 HT 0-2	Cultural Leonesa B
08/12/21 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Colegios Diocesanos

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	At. Bembibre	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	CD Atletico Mansilles	1	1	0	2	1	3
3	UD Santa Marta	1	1	0	1	0	3
4	Burgos Promesas	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Calasanz	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Colegios Diocesanos	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Guijuelo	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Mirandes B	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Villaralbo	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CD Virgen Del Camino	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Cultural Leonesa B	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	CDA Palencia	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Salamanca B	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Almazan	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Turegano CF	1	0	1	1	2	0
17	Arandina	1	0	1	0	1	0
18	Cristo Atletico	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cultural Leonesa B	CD Colegios Diocesanos
Numancia B	3-0 W	1-6 L
Cristo Atletico	0-1 L	1-2 L
Villaralbo	1-2 L	1-2 L
Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	0-4 L	0-1 L
Guijuelo	0-4 L	0-4 L
Mirandes B	2-0 W	3-1 W
CD Mojados	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cultural Leonesa B (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cultural Leonesa B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
02/05	Atletico Tordesillas Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
18/04	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
11/04	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
05/04	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	3-0	3-0	4	5	W
28/03	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-3	0-4	3	0	L
22/03	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-4	–	–	L
15/03	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
07/03	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-0	–	–	W

CD Colegios Diocesanos

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/05	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	3-1	–	–	W
19/04	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/04	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-4	–	–	L
05/04	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-3	0-3	7	5	L
02/04	Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	1-6	4	4	L
28/03	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
21/03	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/03	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cultural Leonesa B vs CD Colegios Diocesanos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cultural Leonesa B win (53%). Probabilities: Cultural Leonesa B 53%, draw 26%, CD Colegios Diocesanos 21%.

How many goals are expected in Cultural Leonesa B vs CD Colegios Diocesanos?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Cultural Leonesa B 1.72 · CD Colegios Diocesanos 1.01), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cultural Leonesa B vs CD Colegios Diocesanos?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.