Football · Indonesia Super League · 16/10, 14:00
Prediction: Java United FC vs Bali United
Team pages: Java United FC · Bali United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Java United FC1.75
Bali United1.75
1X2
Java United FC
Draw
Bali United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Java United FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Bali United
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Java United FC
0–2–2
Bali United
(4 last)
- Bali United4-1Java United FC
- Java United FC3-3Bali United
- Bali United1-1Java United FC
- Java United FC1-4Bali United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Java United FC 1471 · Bali United 1534
| Java United FC | Draw | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bali United (rating 1471 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Bali United: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Java United FC | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Java United FC 0–2–2 Bali United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Java United FC |
| 15/08/25 Indonesia Super League | Java United FC | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Bali United |
| 17/02/25 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Java United FC |
| 21/09/24 Indonesia Super League | Java United FC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Bali United |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Bali United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Persita Tangerang | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Persib Bandung | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bhayangkara FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Java United FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Persijap Jepara | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Java United FC | Bali United |
|---|---|---|
| Borneo FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Persita Tangerang | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Java United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-4 | 1-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/04 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Bali United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Java United FC vs Bali United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Java United FC win (38%). Probabilities: Java United FC 38%, draw 25%, Bali United 38%.
How many goals are expected in Java United FC vs Bali United?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Java United FC 1.75 · Bali United 1.75), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Java United FC vs Bali United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.