Football · Indonesia Super League · 26/10, 13:00
Prediction: Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar
Team pages: Bhayangkara FC · PSM Makassar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Bhayangkara FC2.08
PSM Makassar1.32
1X2
Bhayangkara FC
Draw
PSM Makassar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bhayangkara FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
PSM Makassar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bhayangkara FC
0–4–2
PSM Makassar
(6 last)
- PSM Makassar2-1Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC1-1PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar1-1Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC0-0PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar3-1Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC0-0PSM Makassar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bhayangkara FC (rating 1530 vs 1472).
- H2H favours PSM Makassar: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bhayangkara FC | PSM Makassar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bhayangkara FC 0–4–2 PSM Makassar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 16/08/25 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSM Makassar |
| 08/12/23 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 29/07/23 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PSM Makassar |
| 17/03/23 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 12/12/22 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | PSM Makassar |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Java United FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bhayangkara FC | PSM Makassar |
|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Madura United | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Arema FC | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bhayangkara FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
PSM Makassar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bhayangkara FC win (54%). Probabilities: Bhayangkara FC 54%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 23%.
How many goals are expected in Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Bhayangkara FC 2.08 · PSM Makassar 1.32), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.