Football · Indonesia Super League · 26/10, 13:00
Prediction: Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United
Team pages: Persebaya Surabaya · Madura United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Persebaya Surabaya1.58
Madura United1.1
1X2
Persebaya Surabaya
Draw
Madura United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Persebaya Surabaya
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Madura United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persebaya Surabaya
3–1–2
Madura United
(6 last)
- Persebaya Surabaya1-2Madura United
- Madura United0-1Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya1-0Madura United
- Madura United1-2Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya0-0Madura United
- Madura United3-0Persebaya Surabaya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Persebaya Surabaya: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persebaya Surabaya | Madura United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.4 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persebaya Surabaya 3–1–2 Madura United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Madura United |
| 03/01/26 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 20/04/25 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Madura United |
| 02/12/24 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 13/03/24 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Madura United |
| 17/09/23 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Java United FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persebaya Surabaya | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bhayangkara FC | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Persik Kediri | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Madura United (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 09/10 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Madura United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persebaya Surabaya win (47%). Probabilities: Persebaya Surabaya 47%, draw 27%, Madura United 25%.
How many goals are expected in Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Persebaya Surabaya 1.58 · Madura United 1.1), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.