Football · Indonesia Super League · 25/10, 09:30

Prediction: Persita Tangerang vs Bali United

Team pages: Persita Tangerang · Bali United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Persita Tangerang1.31

Bali United1.58

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Persita Tangerang Draw Bali United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Persita Tangerang 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDWDWW

Bali United 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Persita Tangerang 1–2–3 Bali United (6 last)

Persita Tangerang0-1Bali United
Bali United0-0Persita Tangerang
Bali United1-1Persita Tangerang
Persita Tangerang0-1Bali United
Persita Tangerang4-2Bali United
Bali United3-0Persita Tangerang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Persita Tangerang 1498 · Bali United 1526

	Persita Tangerang	Draw	Bali United
Our model	31%	27%	43%
Market	31%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bali United: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Persita Tangerang	Bali United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.86 ★
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:10 +6’	2.90	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:42 +35’	2.84	3.82	2.16
11:45 +46’	2.86▲	3.86▲	2.18▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Persita Tangerang 1–2–3 Bali United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Indonesia Super League	Persita Tangerang	0-1 HT 0-0	Bali United
25/10/25 Indonesia Super League	Bali United	0-0 HT 0-0	Persita Tangerang
02/03/25 Indonesia Super League	Bali United	1-1 HT 0-1	Persita Tangerang
20/10/24 Indonesia Super League	Persita Tangerang	0-1 HT 0-0	Bali United
30/04/24 Indonesia Super League	Persita Tangerang	4-2 HT 4-1	Bali United
30/10/23 Indonesia Super League	Bali United	3-0 HT 0-0	Persita Tangerang

Standings · Indonesia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Persija Jakarta	6	5	0	1	15	5	15
2	Dewa United FC	6	4	2	0	12	6	14
3	Madura United	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
4	Bali United	6	4	0	2	19	7	12
5	Persita Tangerang	5	3	2	0	11	8	11
6	Persib Bandung	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
7	Bhayangkara FC	6	2	4	0	11	8	10
8	Persik Kediri	6	3	1	2	7	4	10
9	Persebaya Surabaya	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
10	PSM Makassar	6	2	2	2	9	12	8
11	Java United FC	6	2	2	2	9	9	6
12	Arema FC	6	1	3	2	12	14	6
13	Borneo FC	5	2	0	3	4	6	6
14	Garudayaksa	6	1	2	3	6	12	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	1	1	4	9	11	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng FC	6	1	1	4	3	12	2
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	6	0	1	5	3	11	1
18	Persijap Jepara	6	0	0	6	2	14	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Persita Tangerang	Bali United
Garudayaksa	2-1 W	5-0 W
PSM Makassar	2-2 D	2-0 W
Java United FC	3-2 W	2-3 L
Persijap Jepara	0-3 L	6-1 W
Borneo FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bali United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Persita Tangerang

WLLDLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League	1-1	3-2	1	7	W
10/10	Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League	0-0	2-1	10	7	W
19/09	PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
13/09	Java United FC Indonesia Super League	1-2	3-2	10	3	W
05/09	PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/05	Persis Solo Indonesia Super League	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
16/05	Java United FC Indonesia Super League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
05/05	Borneo FC Indonesia Super League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/04	PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W

Bali United

WLLWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League	1-0	5-0	0	4	W
16/10	Java United FC Indonesia Super League	0-1	2-3	5	6	L
10/10	Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League	2-0	6-1	7	4	W
20/09	Borneo FC Indonesia Super League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
04/09	PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
22/05	Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
17/05	Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League	2-0	4-1	6	3	W
11/05	Borneo FC Indonesia Super League	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
05/05	Madura United Indonesia Super League	0-1	0-2	14	2	L
27/04	PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Persita Tangerang vs Bali United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bali United win (43%). Probabilities: Persita Tangerang 31%, draw 26%, Bali United 43%.

How many goals are expected in Persita Tangerang vs Bali United?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Persita Tangerang 1.31 · Bali United 1.58), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Persita Tangerang vs Bali United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.