Football · Indonesia Super League · 16/10, 14:00
Prediction: Madura United vs Bhayangkara FC
Team pages: Madura United · Bhayangkara FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Madura United1.87
Bhayangkara FC1.25
1X2
Madura United
Draw
Bhayangkara FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Madura United
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Bhayangkara FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Madura United
1–2–3
Bhayangkara FC
(6 last)
- Bhayangkara FC3-1Madura United
- Madura United0-0Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC3-2Madura United
- Madura United0-0Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC4-0Madura United
- Madura United1-0Bhayangkara FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bhayangkara FC: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Madura United | Bhayangkara FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madura United 1–2–3 Bhayangkara FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Madura United |
| 12/09/25 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 01/03/24 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Madura United |
| 25/08/23 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 20/02/23 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Madura United |
| 08/09/22 Indonesia Super League | Madura United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Bali United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Persita Tangerang | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Bhayangkara FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Madura United | Bhayangkara FC |
|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Bali United | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Dewa United FC | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Madura United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madura United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Bhayangkara FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madura United vs Bhayangkara FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Madura United win (51%). Probabilities: Madura United 51%, draw 25%, Bhayangkara FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Madura United vs Bhayangkara FC?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Madura United 1.87 · Bhayangkara FC 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Madura United vs Bhayangkara FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.