Football · Indonesia Super League · 20/10, 14:00
Prediction: Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta
Team pages: Bhayangkara FC · PSIM Yogyakarta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Bhayangkara FC1.96
PSIM Yogyakarta1.11
1X2
Bhayangkara FC
Draw
PSIM Yogyakarta
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Bhayangkara FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
PSIM Yogyakarta
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bhayangkara FC
2–1–2
PSIM Yogyakarta
(5 last)
- Bhayangkara FC2-1PSIM Yogyakarta
- PSIM Yogyakarta1-0Bhayangkara FC
- PSIM Yogyakarta1-1Bhayangkara FC
- PSIM Yogyakarta1-2Bhayangkara FC
- Bhayangkara FC0-1PSIM Yogyakarta
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bhayangkara FC (rating 1510 vs 1438).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bhayangkara FC | PSIM Yogyakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 3.2 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bhayangkara FC 2–1–2 PSIM Yogyakarta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
| 22/11/25 Indonesia Super League | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 26/02/25 Indonesia Championship | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 19/12/24 Indonesia Championship | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Bhayangkara FC |
| 19/09/24 Indonesia Championship | Bhayangkara FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PSIM Yogyakarta |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Madura United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Bali United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Persib Bandung | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Java United FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bhayangkara FC | PSIM Yogyakarta |
|---|---|---|
| Madura United | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Arema FC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| PSM Makassar | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Persib Bandung | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bhayangkara FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bhayangkara FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
PSIM Yogyakarta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bhayangkara FC win (56%). Probabilities: Bhayangkara FC 56%, draw 24%, PSIM Yogyakarta 20%.
How many goals are expected in Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Bhayangkara FC 1.96 · PSIM Yogyakarta 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.