Football · Indonesia Super League · 30/10, 13:00
Prediction: Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara
Team pages: Persebaya Surabaya · Persijap Jepara
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Persebaya Surabaya2.06
Persijap Jepara0.8
1X2
Persebaya Surabaya
Draw
Persijap Jepara
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Persebaya Surabaya
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Persijap Jepara
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persebaya Surabaya
1–1
Persijap Jepara
(2 last)
- Persijap Jepara3-1Persebaya Surabaya
- Persebaya Surabaya4-0Persijap Jepara
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persebaya Surabaya (rating 1573 vs 1439).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persebaya Surabaya | Persijap Jepara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.4 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persebaya Surabaya 1–0–1 Persijap Jepara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Persijap Jepara | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Persebaya Surabaya |
| 28/12/25 Indonesia Super League | Persebaya Surabaya | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Persijap Jepara |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Persita Tangerang | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Java United FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Borneo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persebaya Surabaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 09/10 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Persis Solo Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Persijap Jepara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/10 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/10 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Bali United Indonesia Super League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persebaya Surabaya win (66%). Probabilities: Persebaya Surabaya 66%, draw 22%, Persijap Jepara 13%.
How many goals are expected in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Persebaya Surabaya 2.06 · Persijap Jepara 0.8), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.