Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: CF Montanesa vs UE Tona
Team pages: CF Montanesa · UE Tona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
CF Montanesa1.1
UE Tona0.78
1X2
CF Montanesa
Draw
UE Tona
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CF Montanesa
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
UE Tona
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CF Montanesa
3–2–1
UE Tona
(6 last)
- UE Tona0-0CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa1-0UE Tona
- UE Tona2-2CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa1-4UE Tona
- UE Tona1-2CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa3-2UE Tona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CF Montanesa 1521 · UE Tona 1517
| CF Montanesa | Draw | UE Tona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CF Montanesa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Montanesa | UE Tona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/11/33% | 0/86/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montanesa 3–2–1 UE Tona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 0-0 | CF Montanesa |
| 16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UE Tona |
| 19/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 2-2 | CF Montanesa |
| 08/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 1-4 HT 1-3 | UE Tona |
| 18/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 1-2 | CF Montanesa |
| 01/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 3-2 HT 3-1 | UE Tona |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Vilanova Geltru | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Badalona | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | CE Europa B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | UE Tona | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Atletic Lleida | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Martinenc | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | FE Grama | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Peralada | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | CFJ Mollerussa | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | UE Cornella | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | UE San Juan Montcada | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | FC L'Escala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 17 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | CP San Cristobal | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CF Montanesa | UE Tona |
|---|---|---|
| FC L'Escala | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Martinenc | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CE Europa B | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FE Grama | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Badalona | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| UE San Juan Montcada | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Peralada | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Montanesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/10 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/10 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
UE Tona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 19/09 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Montanesa vs UE Tona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montanesa win (43%). Probabilities: CF Montanesa 43%, draw 31%, UE Tona 26%.
How many goals are expected in CF Montanesa vs UE Tona?
The model expects 1.88 goals (CF Montanesa 1.1 · UE Tona 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Montanesa vs UE Tona?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.