Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: UE Vilassar de Mar vs CP San Cristobal

Team pages: UE Vilassar de Mar · CP San Cristobal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

UE Vilassar de Mar1.7

CP San Cristobal1.05

1X2

51% 27% 22%

UE Vilassar de Mar Draw CP San Cristobal

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UE Vilassar de Mar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDWDD

CP San Cristobal 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLDLL

Head-to-head

UE Vilassar de Mar 1–2–3 CP San Cristobal (6 last)

CP San Cristobal1-1UE Vilassar de Mar
UE Vilassar de Mar0-2CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal0-0UE Vilassar de Mar
UE Vilassar de Mar0-1CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal1-0UE Vilassar de Mar
UE Vilassar de Mar2-1CP San Cristobal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UE Vilassar de Mar 1456 · CP San Cristobal 1452

	UE Vilassar de Mar	Draw	CP San Cristobal
Our model	51%	26%	22%
Market	51%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CP San Cristobal: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UE Vilassar de Mar	CP San Cristobal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	6.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +16’	1.75	3.30	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Vilassar de Mar 1–2–3 CP San Cristobal

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-1	UE Vilassar de Mar
09/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Vilassar de Mar	0-2 HT 0-2	CP San Cristobal
16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	0-0 HT 0-0	UE Vilassar de Mar
06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Vilassar de Mar	0-1 HT 0-1	CP San Cristobal
05/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-0 HT 0-0	UE Vilassar de Mar
14/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Vilassar de Mar	2-1 HT 1-1	CP San Cristobal

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	9	5	1	3	13	7	16
2	Vilanova Geltru	9	4	4	1	12	10	16
3	Badalona	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
4	CE Europa B	9	4	2	3	16	9	14
5	CE L'Hospitalet	9	3	5	1	13	11	14
6	Pobla Mafumet	9	4	1	4	13	12	13
7	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	9	3	4	2	9	9	13
8	UE Tona	9	4	1	4	7	9	13
9	Atletic Lleida	9	3	3	3	10	12	12
10	FC Martinenc	9	3	3	3	18	18	12
11	FE Grama	9	3	3	3	12	6	12
12	Peralada	9	2	5	2	11	9	11
13	CFJ Mollerussa	9	3	2	4	9	10	11
14	UE Cornella	9	2	5	2	13	11	11
15	UE San Juan Montcada	9	3	1	5	11	17	10
16	FC L'Escala	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
17	UE Vilassar de Mar	9	2	3	4	12	18	9
18	CP San Cristobal	9	2	2	5	7	21	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UE Vilassar de Mar	CP San Cristobal
CF Montanesa	2-2 D	0-2 L
FC Martinenc	4-0 W	1-5 L
FC L'Escala	2-2 D	1-1 D
CE Europa B	1-6 L	1-0 W
FE Grama	0-3 L	0-5 L
Badalona	0-2 L	0-4 L
UE San Juan Montcada	1-2 L	2-1 W
Pobla Mafumet	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: UE Vilassar de Mar (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UE Vilassar de Mar

LWLLLLDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
25/10	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
18/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	4-0	1	9	W
10/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	1-3	1-6	5	3	L
27/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
20/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
12/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
05/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

CP San Cristobal

LDLWLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	5	9	L
25/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-3	1-5	3	7	L
18/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
14/10	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-5	2	7	L
11/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
27/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-4	3	8	L
20/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-1	9	9	W
13/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
06/09	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
09/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UE Vilassar de Mar vs CP San Cristobal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Vilassar de Mar win (51%). Probabilities: UE Vilassar de Mar 51%, draw 27%, CP San Cristobal 22%.

How many goals are expected in UE Vilassar de Mar vs CP San Cristobal?

The model expects 2.75 goals (UE Vilassar de Mar 1.7 · CP San Cristobal 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UE Vilassar de Mar vs CP San Cristobal?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.