Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 08/11, 17:00
Prediction: Badalona vs CFJ Mollerussa
Team pages: Badalona · CFJ Mollerussa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Badalona1.47
CFJ Mollerussa0.8
1X2
Badalona
Draw
CFJ Mollerussa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Badalona
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CFJ Mollerussa
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Badalona
4–2–0
CFJ Mollerussa
(6 last)
- CFJ Mollerussa0-1Badalona
- Badalona1-1CFJ Mollerussa
- CFJ Mollerussa2-3Badalona
- Badalona2-1CFJ Mollerussa
- CFJ Mollerussa0-0Badalona
- Badalona1-0CFJ Mollerussa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Badalona 1543 · CFJ Mollerussa 1491
| Badalona | Draw | CFJ Mollerussa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Badalona (rating 1543 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Badalona: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Badalona | CFJ Mollerussa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Badalona 4–2–0 CFJ Mollerussa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 0-1 | Badalona |
| 19/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CFJ Mollerussa |
| 23/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Badalona |
| 13/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CFJ Mollerussa |
| 18/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 0-0 | Badalona |
| 01/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CFJ Mollerussa |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CE Europa B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | CF Montanesa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Vilanova Geltru | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Badalona | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | UE Tona | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Atletic Lleida | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Martinenc | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
| 11 | FE Grama | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Peralada | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | CFJ Mollerussa | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | UE Cornella | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
| 15 | UE San Juan Montcada | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | FC L'Escala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 17 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | CP San Cristobal | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Badalona | CFJ Mollerussa |
|---|---|---|
| CE L'Hospitalet | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| UE Cornella | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletic Lleida | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Vilanova Geltru | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| UE Tona | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Badalona (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Badalona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
CFJ Mollerussa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/10 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Badalona vs CFJ Mollerussa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Badalona win (53%). Probabilities: Badalona 53%, draw 27%, CFJ Mollerussa 20%.
How many goals are expected in Badalona vs CFJ Mollerussa?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Badalona 1.47 · CFJ Mollerussa 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Badalona vs CFJ Mollerussa?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.