Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 11/10, 11:45
Prediction: FE Grama vs UE Tona
Team pages: FE Grama · UE Tona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
FE Grama1.58
UE Tona0.9
1X2
FE Grama
Draw
UE Tona
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FE Grama
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
UE Tona
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FE Grama
3–2–1
UE Tona
(6 last)
- FE Grama2-2UE Tona
- UE Tona1-3FE Grama
- FE Grama0-0UE Tona
- UE Tona0-2FE Grama
- FE Grama3-1UE Tona
- UE Tona2-0FE Grama
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FE Grama 1569 · UE Tona 1456
| FE Grama | Draw | UE Tona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FE Grama (rating 1569 vs 1456).
- H2H favours FE Grama: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FE Grama | UE Tona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/22/11% | 0/75/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FE Grama 3–2–1 UE Tona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 2-2 HT 0-2 | UE Tona |
| 28/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 1-3 | FE Grama |
| 06/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UE Tona |
| 24/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 0-2 | FE Grama |
| 10/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 3-1 HT 3-1 | UE Tona |
| 22/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Tona | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FE Grama |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Badalona | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | CE Europa B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | Vilanova Geltru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | FE Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | CE L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | UE Cornella | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | FC L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | UE San Juan Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | CFJ Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | CP San Cristobal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | UE Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FE Grama | UE Tona |
|---|---|---|
| UE Vilassar de Mar | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| FC L'Escala | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CFJ Mollerussa | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| CP San Cristobal | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| UE Cornella | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Badalona | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FE Grama (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FE Grama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/04 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
UE Tona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 19/09 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FE Grama vs UE Tona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FE Grama win (53%). Probabilities: FE Grama 53%, draw 27%, UE Tona 20%.
How many goals are expected in FE Grama vs UE Tona?
The model expects 2.48 goals (FE Grama 1.58 · UE Tona 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FE Grama vs UE Tona?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.