Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: CE L'Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Team pages: CE L'Hospitalet · Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

CE L'Hospitalet2.11

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1.15

1X2

58% 24% 19%

CE L'Hospitalet Draw Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CE L'Hospitalet 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDDWD

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDWDLW

Head-to-head

CE L'Hospitalet 2–4–0 Cerdanyola del Valles FC (6 last)

Cerdanyola del Valles FC4-4CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet3-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC2-2CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet1-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
CE L'Hospitalet0-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
CE L'Hospitalet2-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE L'Hospitalet 1543 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1472

	CE L'Hospitalet	Draw	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CE L'Hospitalet (rating 1543 vs 1472).
H2H favours CE L'Hospitalet: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE L'Hospitalet	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/44/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.4	2.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 4.07
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Pinn 6.46 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:32 +12’	1.60	3.60	4.75
16:28 +4’	1.57▼	3.70▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +87’	1.42	4.07	6.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE L'Hospitalet 2–4–0 Cerdanyola del Valles FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	4-4 HT 1-2	CE L'Hospitalet
14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	3-1 HT 1-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
02/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2-2 HT 2-2	CE L'Hospitalet
22/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	1-1 HT 1-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
14/08/24 Club Friendly List	CE L'Hospitalet	0-0 HT 0-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
02/02/20 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	2-1 HT 0-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	3	3	0	0	5	0	9
2	Pobla Mafumet	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
3	CE L'Hospitalet	3	1	2	0	4	2	5
4	Vilanova Geltru	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
5	UE Cornella	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
6	FC Martinenc	3	1	2	0	6	5	5
7	CP San Cristobal	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	FE Grama	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
9	Atletic Lleida	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
10	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
11	Badalona	3	1	0	2	3	3	3
12	UE San Juan Montcada	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
13	CFJ Mollerussa	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
14	FC L'Escala	3	1	0	2	3	3	3
15	UE Tona	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
16	UE Vilassar de Mar	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
17	Peralada	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
18	CE Europa B	3	0	2	1	3	5	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE L'Hospitalet	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
UE Cornella	0-0 D	1-3 L
Peralada	3-0 W	2-2 D
UE Vic	4-0 W	1-1 D
CF Can Vidalet	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE L'Hospitalet

WWWDWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-2	9	7	D
10/05	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
19/04	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	2-1	4-4	0	13	D
12/04	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
03/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
29/03	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

Cerdanyola del Valles FC

LLLDDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
12/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
10/05	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
03/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	2	1	D
26/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
19/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	4-4	4	13	D
12/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
04/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-3	0-4	3	5	L
29/03	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE L'Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE L'Hospitalet win (58%). Probabilities: CE L'Hospitalet 58%, draw 24%, Cerdanyola del Valles FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in CE L'Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (CE L'Hospitalet 2.11 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1.15), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CE L'Hospitalet vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.