Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 27/09, 11:45
Prediction: FE Grama vs UE Vilassar de Mar
Team pages: FE Grama · UE Vilassar de Mar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
FE Grama1.38
UE Vilassar de Mar0.85
1X2
FE Grama
Draw
UE Vilassar de Mar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FE Grama
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
UE Vilassar de Mar
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FE Grama
3–3
UE Vilassar de Mar
(6 last)
- FE Grama1-0UE Vilassar de Mar
- UE Vilassar de Mar2-0FE Grama
- FE Grama2-1UE Vilassar de Mar
- UE Vilassar de Mar2-1FE Grama
- UE Vilassar de Mar2-0FE Grama
- FE Grama2-0UE Vilassar de Mar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FE Grama 1558 · UE Vilassar de Mar 1502
| FE Grama | Draw | UE Vilassar de Mar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FE Grama (rating 1558 vs 1502).
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FE Grama | UE Vilassar de Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 17/50/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 6.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FE Grama 3–0–3 UE Vilassar de Mar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
| 10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FE Grama |
| 02/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 2-1 HT 2-1 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
| 22/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FE Grama |
| 28/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FE Grama |
| 17/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 2-0 HT 0-0 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pobla Mafumet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | CE L'Hospitalet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Vilanova Geltru | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | UE Cornella | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Martinenc | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | CP San Cristobal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FE Grama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Atletic Lleida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Badalona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | UE San Juan Montcada | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | CFJ Mollerussa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | FC L'Escala | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | UE Tona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Peralada | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | CE Europa B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FE Grama | UE Vilassar de Mar |
|---|---|---|
| FC L'Escala | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| CFJ Mollerussa | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Badalona | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FE Grama (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FE Grama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/04 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
UE Vilassar de Mar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 28/03 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FE Grama vs UE Vilassar de Mar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FE Grama win (48%). Probabilities: FE Grama 48%, draw 29%, UE Vilassar de Mar 23%.
How many goals are expected in FE Grama vs UE Vilassar de Mar?
The model expects 2.23 goals (FE Grama 1.38 · UE Vilassar de Mar 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FE Grama vs UE Vilassar de Mar?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.