Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 12/09, 17:30
Prediction: Badalona vs CF Montanesa
Team pages: Badalona · CF Montanesa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Badalona1.71
CF Montanesa0.92
1X2
Badalona
Draw
CF Montanesa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Badalona
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CF Montanesa
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Badalona
2–1–3
CF Montanesa
(6 last)
- Badalona3-1CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa3-1Badalona
- CF Montanesa0-0Badalona
- Badalona2-0CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa1-0Badalona
- Badalona0-2CF Montanesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Badalona 1470 · CF Montanesa 1466
| Badalona | Draw | CF Montanesa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CF Montanesa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Badalona | CF Montanesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/57/43% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 1.2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Badalona 2–1–3 CF Montanesa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CF Montanesa |
| 26/11/25 Spain Copa de Catalunya | CF Montanesa | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Badalona |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Badalona |
| 01/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CF Montanesa |
| 22/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Badalona |
| 21/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CF Montanesa |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | UE Cornella | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | UE San Juan Montcada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Martinenc | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FE Grama | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CFJ Mollerussa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CE L'Hospitalet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Vilanova Geltru | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Peralada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | CP San Cristobal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | CE Europa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC L'Escala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Pobla Mafumet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | UE Tona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Badalona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Badalona | CF Montanesa |
|---|---|---|
| UE Vic | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CE L'Hospitalet | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CE Manresa | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| CE Europa B | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| FE Grama | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| UE Tona | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Lleida | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Vilanova Geltru | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Badalona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/03 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
CF Montanesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Badalona vs CF Montanesa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Badalona win (55%). Probabilities: Badalona 55%, draw 26%, CF Montanesa 19%.
How many goals are expected in Badalona vs CF Montanesa?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Badalona 1.71 · CF Montanesa 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Badalona vs CF Montanesa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.