Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 11/10, 12:00

Prediction: CFJ Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Team pages: CFJ Mollerussa · Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

CFJ Mollerussa1.44

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1.09

1X2

44% 29% 27%

CFJ Mollerussa Draw Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CFJ Mollerussa 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWDLWD

Head-to-head

CFJ Mollerussa 1–2–1 Cerdanyola del Valles FC (4 last)

CFJ Mollerussa3-2Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0-0CFJ Mollerussa
CFJ Mollerussa1-3Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0-0CFJ Mollerussa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CFJ Mollerussa 1502 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1483

	CFJ Mollerussa	Draw	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	44%	29%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CFJ Mollerussa	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4	2.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.31
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.61 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +19’	2.05	3.10	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +60’	1.90	3.31	3.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CFJ Mollerussa 1–2–1 Cerdanyola del Valles FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CFJ Mollerussa	3-2 HT 2-2	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CFJ Mollerussa
09/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CFJ Mollerussa	1-3	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
29/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CFJ Mollerussa

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5	1	9
2	Badalona	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
3	CE Europa B	5	2	2	1	10	6	8
4	Vilanova Geltru	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
5	FE Grama	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
6	Pobla Mafumet	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
7	CE L'Hospitalet	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
7	UE Cornella	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
9	FC L'Escala	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	UE San Juan Montcada	4	2	0	2	5	7	6
11	Peralada	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
12	FC Martinenc	4	1	2	1	8	8	5
13	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
14	Atletic Lleida	5	1	2	2	4	8	5
15	CFJ Mollerussa	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
16	CP San Cristobal	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4	9	3
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	5	1	0	4	3	13	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CFJ Mollerussa	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
UE Cornella	1-1 D	1-3 L
CE Europa B	3-0 W	0-0 D
FC L'Escala	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CFJ Mollerussa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CFJ Mollerussa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
10/05	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
03/05	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	2-2	2	4	D
03/04	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	2-2	3	7	D

Cerdanyola del Valles FC

LLDDDWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
20/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
12/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
10/05	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
03/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	2	1	D
26/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
19/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	4-4	4	13	D
12/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
04/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-3	0-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CFJ Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CFJ Mollerussa win (44%). Probabilities: CFJ Mollerussa 44%, draw 29%, Cerdanyola del Valles FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in CFJ Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (CFJ Mollerussa 1.44 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CFJ Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.