Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: UE Cornella vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Team pages: UE Cornella · Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
UE Cornella1.95
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0.74
1X2
UE Cornella
Draw
Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
UE Cornella
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Cerdanyola del Valles FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UE Cornella
4–2–0
Cerdanyola del Valles FC
(6 last)
- UE Cornella1-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
- UE Cornella2-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
- Cerdanyola del Valles FC1-2UE Cornella
- Cerdanyola del Valles FC2-2UE Cornella
- UE Cornella3-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
- Cerdanyola del Valles FC1-3UE Cornella
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UE Cornella 1553 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1461
| UE Cornella | Draw | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UE Cornella (rating 1553 vs 1461).
- H2H favours UE Cornella: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UE Cornella | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Cornella 4–2–0 Cerdanyola del Valles FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Club Friendly List | UE Cornella | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC |
| 31/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Cornella | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | UE Cornella |
| 18/12/24 Spain Copa de Catalunya | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | UE Cornella |
| 11/08/21 Europe Friendlies | UE Cornella | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC |
| 10/08/17 Spain Copa de Catalunya | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 1-3 HT 0-3 | UE Cornella |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | UE Cornella | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | UE San Juan Montcada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Martinenc | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FE Grama | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CFJ Mollerussa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CE L'Hospitalet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Vilanova Geltru | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Peralada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | CP San Cristobal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | CE Europa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC L'Escala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Pobla Mafumet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | UE Tona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Badalona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UE Cornella | Cerdanyola del Valles FC |
|---|---|---|
| CE L'Hospitalet | 0-0 D | 4-4 D |
| CE Manresa | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CE Europa B | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FE Grama | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| UE Tona | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lleida | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UE Cornella (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UE Cornella
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Cerdanyola del Valles FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 12/04 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 14/03 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UE Cornella vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Cornella win (65%). Probabilities: UE Cornella 65%, draw 22%, Cerdanyola del Valles FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in UE Cornella vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?
The model expects 2.69 goals (UE Cornella 1.95 · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 0.74), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in UE Cornella vs Cerdanyola del Valles FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.