Football · England Super League Women · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Man Utd (W) vs Chelsea (W)
Team pages: Man Utd (W) · Chelsea (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Man Utd (W)0.99
Chelsea (W)1.71
1X2
Man Utd (W)
Draw
Chelsea (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Man Utd (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Chelsea (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Man Utd (W)
0–2–4
Chelsea (W)
(6 last)
- Chelsea (W)1-0Man Utd (W)
- Chelsea (W)2-0Man Utd (W)
- Chelsea (W)1-1Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)1-1Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)3-0Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)0-1Chelsea (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (W) (rating 1473 vs 1636).
- H2H favours Chelsea (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man Utd (W) | Chelsea (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 4.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man Utd (W) 0–2–4 Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 15/03/26 England League Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 22/02/26 England FA Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 03/10/25 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 18/05/25 England FA Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 30/04/25 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chelsea (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Tottenham (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | London City Lionesses (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Arsenal (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Aston Villa (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Chelsea (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Man Utd (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Brighton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Everton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man Utd (W) | Chelsea (W) |
|---|---|---|
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Brighton (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Man City (W) | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Everton (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Leicester (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Liverpool (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 01/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/03 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/02 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/02 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man Utd (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelsea (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Man Utd (W) 21%, draw 26%, Chelsea (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in Man Utd (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Man Utd (W) 0.99 · Chelsea (W) 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Man Utd (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.