Football · England Super League Women · 13/09, 19:30
Prediction: Aston Villa (W) vs Man City (W)
Team pages: Aston Villa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Aston Villa (W)1.41
Man City (W)2.37
1X2
Aston Villa (W)
Draw
Man City (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Aston Villa (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Man City (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aston Villa (W)
0–1–5
Man City (W)
(6 last)
- Aston Villa (W)0-0Man City (W)
- Man City (W)6-1Aston Villa (W)
- Man City (W)2-0Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)2-4Man City (W)
- Man City (W)2-1Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)1-2Man City (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City (W) (rating 1410 vs 1608).
- H2H favours Man City (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aston Villa (W) | Man City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 2.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aston Villa (W) 0–1–5 Man City (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Man City (W) |
| 14/12/25 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 09/03/25 England FA Cup Women | Man City (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 25/01/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Man City (W) |
| 20/10/24 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 18/05/24 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Man City (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Tottenham (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | London City Lionesses (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | West Ham (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Aston Villa (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Chelsea (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Man Utd (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Brighton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Everton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Birmingham (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aston Villa (W) | Man City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (W) | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| West Ham (W) | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Leicester (W) | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 3-7 L | 5-2 W |
| Liverpool (W) | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Man City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
5-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 13/02 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/02 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/02 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa (W) vs Man City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man City (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Aston Villa (W) 21%, draw 21%, Man City (W) 58%.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa (W) vs Man City (W)?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Aston Villa (W) 1.41 · Man City (W) 2.37), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa (W) vs Man City (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.