Football · England Super League Women · 18/09, 20:00
Prediction: Man City (W) vs Liverpool (W)
Team pages: Man City (W) · Liverpool (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Man City (W)2.15
Liverpool (W)0.92
1X2
Man City (W)
Draw
Liverpool (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Man City (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Liverpool (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Man City (W)
6–0
Liverpool (W)
(6 last)
- Man City (W)1-0Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-2Man City (W)
- Man City (W)4-0Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-2Man City (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-4Man City (W)
- Man City (W)5-1Liverpool (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City (W) (rating 1621 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Man City (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man City (W) | Liverpool (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.4 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City (W) 6–0–0 Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 12/10/25 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Man City (W) |
| 16/02/25 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 13/10/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Man City (W) |
| 30/03/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Man City (W) |
| 21/01/24 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Liverpool (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liverpool (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Arsenal (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | London City Lionesses (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Brighton (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Aston Villa (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Charlton (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Man Utd (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man City (W) | Liverpool (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham (W) | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Brighton (W) | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Tottenham (W) | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Aston Villa (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Leicester (W) | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Chelsea (W) | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
5-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 13/02 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/02 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/02 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/02 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/02 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man City (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Man City (W) 65%, draw 21%, Liverpool (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Man City (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Man City (W) 2.15 · Liverpool (W) 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Man City (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.