Football · England Super League Women · 19/09, 18:30
Prediction: Arsenal (W) vs Man Utd (W)
Team pages: Arsenal (W) · Man Utd (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Arsenal (W)1.91
Man Utd (W)0.57
1X2
Arsenal (W)
Draw
Man Utd (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Arsenal (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Man Utd (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arsenal (W)
2–3–1
Man Utd (W)
(6 last)
- Arsenal (W)0-1Man Utd (W)
- Arsenal (W)0-0Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)0-0Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)4-3Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)1-1Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)3-1Man Utd (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (W) (rating 1609 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Arsenal (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arsenal (W) | Man Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 8.1 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal (W) 2–3–1 Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 England League Cup Women | Arsenal (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Man Utd (W) |
| 10/01/26 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Man Utd (W) |
| 21/09/25 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 10/05/25 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Man Utd (W) |
| 03/11/24 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 17/02/24 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Man Utd (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liverpool (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Arsenal (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | London City Lionesses (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Brighton (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Aston Villa (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Charlton (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Man Utd (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arsenal (W) | Man Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Everton (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Leicester (W) | 7-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 5-2 W | 0-0 D |
| West Ham (W) | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arsenal (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arsenal (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Arsenal (W) 69%, draw 22%, Man Utd (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Arsenal (W) 1.91 · Man Utd (W) 0.57), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Arsenal (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.