Football · Hungary NB III · 19/08, 17:30

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK II vs Debreceni II

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK II · Debreceni II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Diosgyori VTK II1.6

Debreceni II1.86

1X2

32% 25% 43%

Diosgyori VTK II Draw Debreceni II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLLDW

Debreceni II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK II 0–1–5 Debreceni II (6 last)

Diosgyori VTK II0-3Debreceni II
Debreceni II2-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II1-1Debreceni II
Debreceni II4-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II2-3Debreceni II
Diosgyori VTK II1-5Debreceni II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK II 1453 · Debreceni II 1514

	Diosgyori VTK II	Draw	Debreceni II
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	32%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Debreceni II (rating 1453 vs 1514).
H2H favours Debreceni II: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK II	Debreceni II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
X	3.75 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.30 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:52 +7’	2.90	3.75	2.00
16:19 +6’	2.88▼	3.50▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +2’	2.65	3.52	2.16
16:23 +1’	2.78▲	3.15▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK II 0–1–5 Debreceni II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	0-3 HT 0-1	Debreceni II
26/10/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	2-1 HT 1-1	Diosgyori VTK II
29/03/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-1 HT 1-1	Debreceni II
08/09/24 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	4-1 HT 1-1	Diosgyori VTK II
30/07/23 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-3 HT 2-2	Debreceni II
23/04/23 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-5 HT 1-3	Debreceni II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DEAC	4	4	0	0	13	4	12
2	Egri FC	4	4	0	0	6	2	12
3	Cigand SE	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
3	Ozd Sajovolgye	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
5	Kisvarda II	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
6	Mateszalkai MTK	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
7	Fuzesabonyi SC	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
8	Godolloi SK	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
9	Diosgyori VTK II	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
10	Debreceni II	4	1	1	2	8	7	4
11	Nyiregyhaza II	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
12	Hajdunanas FK	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
13	FC Tiszaujvaros	4	1	0	3	2	5	3
14	Salgotarjani BTC	4	1	0	3	3	7	3
15	Tarpa SC	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
16	Tiszafured VSE	4	0	0	4	0	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK II	Debreceni II
Cigand SE	2-5 L	0-5 L
FC Hatvan	3-2 W	1-2 L
Tarpa SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Fuzesabonyi SC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Diosgyori VTK II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Diosgyori VTK II

WLLLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
09/08	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
25/07	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
18/07	Cigand SE Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-5	3	0	L
24/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	3	4	L
26/04	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	4	4	L
19/04	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	3	W

Debreceni II

WDLWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	3	3	W
24/05	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
17/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	5	6	W
10/05	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
03/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	3-1	5-1	7	1	W
26/04	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
19/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
11/04	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK II vs Debreceni II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Debreceni II win (43%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK II 32%, draw 25%, Debreceni II 43%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK II vs Debreceni II?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Diosgyori VTK II 1.6 · Debreceni II 1.86), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK II vs Debreceni II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.