Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 25/09, 23:30
Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Club Aurora
Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Club Aurora
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.59
Club Aurora1.84
1X2
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Draw
Club Aurora
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Club Aurora
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
1–4
Club Aurora
(5 last)
- Club Aurora3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
- Club Aurora3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
- Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2Club Aurora
- Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora2-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1394 · Club Aurora 1545
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | Draw | Club Aurora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1394 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Club Aurora: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | Club Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1–0–4 Club Aurora
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
| 16/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Club Aurora | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
| 25/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 19/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Club Aurora |
| 30/04/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Club Aurora | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Aurora | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | Club Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Always Ready | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Real Potosi | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Universitario De Vinto | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/02 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/11 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Club Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/11 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 01/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/10 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Club Aurora?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Aurora win (42%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 32%, draw 26%, Club Aurora 42%.
How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Club Aurora?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.59 · Club Aurora 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Club Aurora?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.