Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 26/09, 23:15
Prediction: The Strongest vs Guabira
Team pages: The Strongest · Guabira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
The Strongest2.78
Guabira1.11
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Guabira
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Guabira
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
2–4
Guabira
(6 last)
- Guabira3-1The Strongest
- Guabira3-2The Strongest
- The Strongest2-1Guabira
- Guabira2-1The Strongest
- The Strongest5-1Guabira
- Guabira1-0The Strongest
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1540 · Guabira 1481
| The Strongest | Draw | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1540 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Guabira: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.8 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 5.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 2–0–4 Guabira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 3-1 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
| 26/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 3-2 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
| 19/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Guabira |
| 21/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 2-1 HT 2-0 | The Strongest |
| 03/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Guabira |
| 20/10/24 Bolivia Clausura | Guabira | 1-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriente Petrolero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Guabira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Strongest | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Oriente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Aurora | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 16/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/11 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 31/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Guabira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (71%). Probabilities: The Strongest 71%, draw 17%, Guabira 12%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Guabira?
The model expects 3.89 goals (The Strongest 2.78 · Guabira 1.11), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Guabira?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.