Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 27/09, 01:30
Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero
Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Oriente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Universitario De Vinto1.65
Oriente Petrolero1.71
1X2
Universitario De Vinto
Draw
Oriente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario De Vinto
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Oriente Petrolero
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario De Vinto
2–2–2
Oriente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero5-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero3-2Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto1-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero0-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto4-1Oriente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1451 · Oriente Petrolero 1553
| Universitario De Vinto | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriente Petrolero (rating 1451 vs 1553).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario De Vinto | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 5.8 / 1.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 2–2–2 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 08/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 03/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 21/05/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 04/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 21/11/24 Bolivia Clausura | Universitario De Vinto | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriente Petrolero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Guabira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario De Vinto | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guabira | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Blooming | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Nacional Potosi | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 09/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 31/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/10 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Jorge Wilstermann Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Oriente Petrolero win (38%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 36%, draw 25%, Oriente Petrolero 38%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.65 · Oriente Petrolero 1.71), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.